Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+1.1%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.4 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,025.26
Current Value
$11,148.64
Period P&L
$123.37
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
12 / 2
Best Trade
+0.47%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,263.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$123.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$123.37
Gross Return
+1.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,025.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.88 77 $11,001.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $143.28 77 $11,032.56 $11,056.07 +$30.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $141.24 78 $11,016.72
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $141.53 78 $11,039.34 $11,078.69 +$22.62
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $143.98 76 $10,942.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $144.65 76 $10,993.40 $11,129.61 +$50.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $145.26 76 $11,039.38
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.45 76 $11,053.82 $11,144.05 +$14.44
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $144.26 77 $11,108.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.62 77 $11,058.74 $11,094.38 $-49.67
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $146.85 75 $11,013.75
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $147.09 75 $11,031.75 $11,112.38 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $143.39 77 $11,041.03
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $143.96 77 $11,084.92 $11,156.27 +$43.89
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET $142.47 78 $11,112.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.80 $11,166.41 +$10.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $149.25 74 $11,044.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.67 74 $11,075.58 $11,197.49 +$31.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $148.17 75 $11,112.75
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $148.38 75 $11,128.87 $11,213.61 +$16.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $148.09 75 $11,106.38
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $146.50 75 $10,987.50 $11,094.73 $-118.88
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $146.62 75 $10,996.50
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.89 75 $11,016.75 $11,114.98 +$20.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $146.92 75 $11,019.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $147.03 75 $11,027.25 $11,123.23 +$8.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $143.05 77 $11,014.85
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $143.38 77 $11,040.26 $11,148.64 +$25.41
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,148.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,148.64
Total Return: +11.49%
Back to Professor Mean