Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,957.40
Current Value
$9,985.53
Period P&L
$28.16
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.00%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$235,568.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$28.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$28.16
Gross Return
+0.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,957.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $158.82 62 $9,846.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $159.09 62 $9,863.57 $9,974.10 +$16.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $160.76 62 $9,967.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $158.81 62 $9,846.22 $9,853.20 $-120.90
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $160.24 61 $9,774.64
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $158.40 61 $9,662.52 $9,741.08 $-112.12
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $157.56 61 $9,611.16
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $158.08 61 $9,642.88 $9,772.80 +$31.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $155.62 62 $9,648.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $156.76 62 $9,719.03 $9,843.39 +$70.59
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $157.82 62 $9,784.84
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $157.57 62 $9,769.65 $9,828.20 $-15.19
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $154.80 63 $9,752.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.90 63 $9,947.70 $10,023.50 +$195.30
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $169.79 59 $10,017.32
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $167.52 59 $9,883.68 $9,889.87 $-133.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $165.67 59 $9,774.62
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $165.81 59 $9,782.79 $9,898.04 +$8.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $163.79 60 $9,827.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $164.85 60 $9,891.00 $9,961.64 +$63.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $166.32 59 $9,812.88
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $166.63 59 $9,830.88 $9,979.63 +$17.99
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $168.69 59 $9,952.71
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $168.79 59 $9,958.61 $9,985.53 +$5.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,985.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-14.47
Total Return: -0.14%
Back to Professor Mean