Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.5

30-Day Momentum

20
-0.6%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,545.51
Current Value
$13,461.27
Period P&L
$-84.25
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+2.33%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$351,741.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-84.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-84.25
Gross Return
-0.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,545.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $59.25 228 $13,509.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $57.92 228 $13,204.62 $13,241.14 $-304.38
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $57.22 231 $13,217.82
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $55.72 231 $12,871.32 $12,894.64 $-346.50
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.20 242 $12,874.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $53.65 242 $12,982.09 $13,002.33 +$107.69
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $57.66 225 $12,974.09
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $58.66 225 $13,198.50 $13,226.74 +$224.41
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.78 221 $13,211.38
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $61.17 221 $13,518.57 $13,533.93 +$307.19
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $59.80 226 $13,514.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $60.37 226 $13,643.62 $13,662.75 +$128.82
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $61.47 222 $13,647.45
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $61.72 222 $13,702.95 $13,718.25 +$55.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $61.82 221 $13,662.22
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $62.43 221 $13,797.03 $13,853.06 +$134.81
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 243 $13,802.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $56.31 243 $13,683.33 $13,733.99 $-119.07
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $56.46 243 $13,720.82
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $56.82 243 $13,807.26 $13,820.43 +$86.44
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET $55.42 249 $13,799.58
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.99 249 $13,942.75 $13,963.61 +$143.18
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $46.03 303 $13,948.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $46.27 303 $14,018.87 $14,034.48 +$70.87
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.72 294 $14,031.06
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:55am ET $45.78 294 $13,457.85 $13,461.27 $-573.21
(-4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,461.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,461.27
Total Return: +34.61%
Back to Professor Mean