Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:06

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.2 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,738
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,553.54
Current Value
$9,609.84
Period P&L
$56.25
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+1.20%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,629.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$56.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$56.25
Gross Return
+0.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,553.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.60 185 $9,545.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.91 185 $9,603.35 $9,611.86 +$58.27
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $52.21 184 $9,605.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.97 184 $9,562.48 $9,568.62 $-43.24
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $51.99 184 $9,566.16
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.79 184 $9,529.36 $9,531.82 $-36.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $51.87 183 $9,492.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $51.99 183 $9,514.17 $9,553.78 +$21.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.62 185 $9,548.78
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 185 $9,394.30 $9,399.30 $-154.48
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 180 $9,354.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $51.48 180 $9,265.91 $9,310.61 $-88.69
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.26 171 $9,278.46
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.38 171 $9,298.13 $9,330.28 +$19.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $54.34 171 $9,292.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $54.99 171 $9,403.29 $9,441.43 +$111.15
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $55.36 170 $9,411.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $55.88 170 $9,499.29 $9,529.52 +$88.09
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.31 172 $9,512.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.40 172 $9,528.80 $9,545.86 +$16.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $56.24 169 $9,504.56
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $56.77 169 $9,594.13 $9,635.43 +$89.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $56.21 171 $9,611.91
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.03 171 $9,581.98 $9,605.51 $-29.92
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.28 173 $9,563.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $55.31 173 $9,567.77 $9,609.84 +$4.33
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,609.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-390.16
Total Return: -3.90%
Back to Professor Mean