Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
2.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.0

30-Day Momentum

16
-1.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,290.97
Current Value
$10,107.66
Period P&L
$-183.43
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-2.93%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
13.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$248,407.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-183.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-183.43
Gross Return
-1.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,290.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $65.41 157 $10,269.37
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $65.75 157 $10,322.75 $10,344.47 +$53.38
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.74 159 $10,292.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $65.61 159 $10,431.99 $10,483.60 +$139.13
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $67.21 155 $10,417.55
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET $67.12 155 $10,403.60 $10,469.65 $-13.95
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $71.71 146 $10,468.93
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $72.07 146 $10,522.95 $10,523.67 +$54.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $74.19 141 $10,460.79
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $74.23 141 $10,466.43 $10,529.31 +$5.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $72.10 146 $10,526.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $71.05 146 $10,373.59 $10,376.30 $-153.01
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $68.63 151 $10,363.13
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $69.04 151 $10,425.79 $10,438.97 +$62.67
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $69.01 151 $10,420.51
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.28 151 $10,310.29 $10,328.75 $-110.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 157 $10,311.76
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET $66.07 157 $10,373.77 $10,390.76 +$62.01
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $64.54 160 $10,326.66
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.53 160 $10,324.00 $10,388.10 $-2.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $68.32 152 $10,383.88
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $66.32 152 $10,079.88 $10,084.10 $-304.00
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $66.14 152 $10,053.28
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $66.29 152 $10,076.84 $10,107.66 +$23.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,107.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$107.66
Total Return: +1.08%
Back to Professor Mean