Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.6

30-Day Momentum

83
+12.8%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.6 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+48 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,180.41
Current Value
$15,994.42
Period P&L
$1,813.93
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.78

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$392,311.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,813.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,813.93
Gross Return
+12.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,180.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $53.47 265 $14,169.55
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.24 265 $14,373.57 $14,384.51 +$204.02
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $54.17 265 $14,355.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $55.56 265 $14,723.40 $14,752.86 +$368.35
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $76.98 191 $14,702.68
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $77.10 191 $14,726.10 $14,776.28 +$23.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.11 179 $14,697.69
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $82.01 179 $14,680.68 $14,759.27 $-17.01
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $86.68 170 $14,734.77
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $87.65 170 $14,900.48 $14,924.99 +$165.72
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $93.29 159 $14,833.13
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $94.15 159 $14,969.25 $15,061.11 +$136.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $96.66 155 $14,981.85
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $98.47 155 $15,262.87 $15,342.13 +$281.02
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $104.68 146 $15,282.55
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $105.22 146 $15,362.85 $15,422.43 +$80.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $127.78 120 $15,333.61
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $128.67 120 $15,440.40 $15,529.22 +$106.79
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.29 143 $15,485.76
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $106.94 143 $15,292.95 $15,336.41 $-192.81
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $113.97 134 $15,271.39
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $115.19 134 $15,435.46 $15,500.48 +$164.07
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.47 126 $15,430.98
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $126.80 126 $15,976.80 $16,046.30 +$545.82
(+3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $127.76 125 $15,970.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $127.35 125 $15,918.13 $15,994.42 $-51.88
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,994.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,994.42
Total Return: +59.94%
Back to Professor Mean