Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+1.1%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,627.80
Current Value
$10,802.55
Period P&L
$174.79
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+0.62%
Worst Trade
-0.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,205.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$174.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$174.79
Gross Return
+1.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,627.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $655.90 16 $10,494.40
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $657.42 16 $10,518.80 $10,652.16 +$24.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $655.30 16 $10,484.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $657.98 16 $10,527.73 $10,695.09 +$42.93
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $680.16 15 $10,202.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $679.25 15 $10,188.75 $10,681.44 $-13.65
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $692.29 15 $10,384.34
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $693.43 15 $10,401.52 $10,698.63 +$17.19
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $698.61 15 $10,479.15
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $699.90 15 $10,498.43 $10,717.91 +$19.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $709.91 15 $10,648.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $710.17 15 $10,652.55 $10,721.81 +$3.90
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $707.30 15 $10,609.50
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $707.03 15 $10,605.45 $10,717.76 $-4.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $708.96 15 $10,634.46
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $707.83 15 $10,617.45 $10,700.75 $-17.01
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $712.70 15 $10,690.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $714.02 15 $10,710.30 $10,720.63 +$19.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $710.53 15 $10,658.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $711.11 15 $10,666.65 $10,729.26 +$8.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $721.40 14 $10,099.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $722.16 14 $10,110.24 $10,739.90 +$10.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $723.53 14 $10,129.49
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $728.01 14 $10,192.14 $10,802.55 +$62.65
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,802.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$802.55
Total Return: +8.03%
Back to Professor Mean