Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.0

30-Day Momentum

34
+2.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.7 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,487.32
Current Value
$11,720.96
Period P&L
$233.63
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+2.04%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$294,175.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$233.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$233.63
Gross Return
+2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,487.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.17 224 $11,462.08
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.88 224 $11,622.20 $11,647.45 +$160.12
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET $43.15 269 $11,606.95
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.66 269 $11,206.14 $11,246.64 $-400.81
(-3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $41.62 270 $11,238.35
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $41.88 270 $11,308.95 $11,317.24 +$70.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $39.72 284 $11,280.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 284 $10,800.49 $10,837.25 $-479.99
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $38.30 282 $10,801.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $38.73 282 $10,920.70 $10,956.73 +$119.48
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $38.80 282 $10,941.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET $39.26 282 $11,071.32 $11,086.45 +$129.72
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.72 286 $11,073.92
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:25am ET $39.24 286 $11,222.64 $11,235.17 +$148.72
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $39.16 286 $11,199.79
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $39.46 286 $11,285.56 $11,320.94 +$85.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $39.17 288 $11,282.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $38.98 288 $11,226.24 $11,264.78 $-56.16
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $38.15 295 $11,254.60
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.93 295 $11,484.38 $11,494.56 +$229.78
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $37.54 306 $11,488.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $38.12 306 $11,664.72 $11,670.51 +$175.95
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $35.92 324 $11,638.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $36.03 324 $11,673.72 $11,706.15 +$35.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $36.34 322 $11,702.77
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:05am ET $36.39 322 $11,717.58 $11,720.96 +$14.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,720.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,720.96
Total Return: +17.21%
Back to Professor Mean