Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 00:02:36

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 22.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.7

30-Day Momentum

21
+0.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.5 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,044.65
Current Value
$11,142.04
Period P&L
$97.38
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+3.44%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$216,191.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$97.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$97.38
Gross Return
+0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,044.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $31.60 349 $11,028.40
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $31.39 349 $10,955.11 $10,971.37 $-73.29
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $30.79 356 $10,961.24
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.99 356 $11,032.44 $11,042.57 +$71.20
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.48 374 $11,023.65
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $29.00 374 $10,846.00 $10,864.92 $-177.65
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $29.26 371 $10,855.46
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $29.46 371 $10,929.66 $10,939.12 +$74.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $29.18 374 $10,913.32
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.19 374 $10,541.75 $10,567.55 $-371.57
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $29.52 357 $10,540.42
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET $29.57 357 $10,554.71 $10,581.83 +$14.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $32.17 328 $10,551.76
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $32.51 328 $10,662.46 $10,692.53 +$110.70
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $30.21 353 $10,664.13
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET $30.46 353 $10,751.64 $10,780.04 +$87.51
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.11 412 $10,757.32
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $26.09 412 $10,749.08 $10,771.80 $-8.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $25.84 416 $10,751.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $26.74 416 $11,121.76 $11,142.04 +$370.24
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,142.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,142.04
Total Return: +11.42%
Back to Professor Mean