Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 32.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.4 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,198.88
Current Value
$11,213.85
Period P&L
$15.02
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,936.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$15.02
Gross Return
+0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,198.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $434.54 25 $10,863.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $427.45 25 $10,686.25 $11,021.70 $-177.12
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $438.94 25 $10,973.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $439.54 25 $10,988.38 $11,036.58 +$14.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $435.89 25 $10,897.25
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $435.77 25 $10,894.25 $11,033.58 $-3.00
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $437.00 25 $10,925.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $440.55 25 $11,013.75 $11,122.33 +$88.75
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $439.17 25 $10,979.37
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $434.55 25 $10,863.75 $11,006.71 $-115.63
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $439.15 25 $10,978.75
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $440.52 25 $11,012.88 $11,040.84 +$34.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $436.09 25 $10,902.25
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $438.93 25 $10,973.22 $11,111.81 +$70.97
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $437.52 25 $10,938.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $435.48 25 $10,887.00 $11,060.69 $-51.12
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $427.01 25 $10,675.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $431.93 25 $10,798.25 $11,183.69 +$123.00
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $428.36 26 $11,137.36
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $429.27 26 $11,161.02 $11,207.35 +$23.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $429.00 26 $11,154.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $428.94 26 $11,152.44 $11,205.79 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $424.48 26 $11,036.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $424.79 26 $11,044.54 $11,213.85 +$8.06
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,213.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,213.85
Total Return: +12.14%
Back to Professor Mean