Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:20:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

49
+2.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,750
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,671.61
Current Value
$10,935.61
Period P&L
$264.05
Max Drawdown
-5.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.80

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+0.82%
Worst Trade
-0.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
2.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$258,192.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$264.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$264.05
Gross Return
+2.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,671.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $49.78 214 $10,653.99
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.87 214 $10,671.11 $10,688.68 +$17.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $49.67 215 $10,680.12
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $49.94 215 $10,737.10 $10,745.65 +$56.97
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $50.87 211 $10,733.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $50.94 211 $10,748.34 $10,760.42 +$14.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.53 212 $10,712.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $50.48 212 $10,701.76 $10,749.82 $-10.60
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.21 205 $10,702.03
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $52.33 205 $10,727.65 $10,775.45 +$25.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $52.57 204 $10,724.26
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.53 204 $10,717.14 $10,768.33 $-7.12
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.08 206 $10,729.51
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.15 206 $10,743.93 $10,782.75 +$14.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $51.59 209 $10,782.31
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:55am ET $51.58 209 $10,781.26 $10,781.70 $-1.05
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.03 207 $10,771.24
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.08 207 $10,781.59 $10,792.05 +$10.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $51.47 209 $10,757.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $51.89 209 $10,845.01 $10,879.83 +$87.78
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $52.23 208 $10,863.84
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.28 208 $10,873.20 $10,889.19 +$9.36
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.44 211 $10,853.84
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $51.66 211 $10,900.26 $10,935.61 +$46.42
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,935.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$935.61
Total Return: +9.36%
Back to Professor Mean