Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.0

30-Day Momentum

10
-6.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,064.79
Current Value
$9,417.52
Period P&L
$-647.21
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+1.41%
Worst Trade
-4.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$228,351.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-647.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-647.21
Gross Return
-6.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,064.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $162.08 62 $10,048.97
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $162.59 62 $10,080.77 $10,096.53 +$31.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $156.99 64 $10,047.68
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $154.88 64 $9,912.32 $9,961.17 $-135.36
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $152.34 65 $9,902.10
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $152.59 65 $9,918.35 $9,977.42 +$16.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $149.77 66 $9,885.15
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 66 $9,742.92 $9,835.19 $-142.23
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $148.01 66 $9,768.66
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $147.26 66 $9,719.16 $9,785.69 $-49.50
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $151.96 64 $9,725.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $144.38 64 $9,240.32 $9,300.57 $-485.12
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $148.49 62 $9,206.38
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $146.98 62 $9,112.77 $9,206.96 $-93.61
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $149.24 61 $9,103.94
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:10pm ET $149.23 61 $9,103.03 $9,206.05 $-0.91
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $150.97 60 $9,058.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $150.85 60 $9,051.00 $9,198.85 $-7.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $152.01 60 $9,120.60
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $154.16 60 $9,249.60 $9,327.85 +$129.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $152.40 61 $9,296.10
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:55am ET $153.26 61 $9,349.16 $9,380.92 +$53.07
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $153.05 61 $9,336.05
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $153.65 61 $9,372.65 $9,417.52 +$36.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,417.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-582.48
Total Return: -5.82%
Back to Professor Mean