Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,355.86
Current Value
$11,230.49
Period P&L
$-125.36
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
11.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$400,902.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-125.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-125.36
Gross Return
-1.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,355.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $268.27 42 $11,267.47
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $268.07 42 $11,258.94 $11,347.33 $-8.53
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $263.96 42 $11,086.32
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $262.98 42 $11,045.16 $11,306.17 $-41.16
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $261.37 43 $11,238.91
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $261.98 43 $11,264.93 $11,332.18 +$26.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $256.58 44 $11,289.52
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $257.02 44 $11,308.88 $11,351.54 +$19.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $259.26 43 $11,148.18
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $258.03 43 $11,095.29 $11,298.65 $-52.89
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $259.73 43 $11,168.39
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $261.62 43 $11,249.66 $11,379.92 +$81.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $258.18 44 $11,359.92
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $257.53 44 $11,331.32 $11,351.32 $-28.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $258.40 43 $11,111.20
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $257.90 43 $11,089.70 $11,329.82 $-21.50
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.42 44 $11,238.48
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $254.07 44 $11,179.08 $11,270.42 $-59.40
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $249.54 45 $11,229.08
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $246.32 45 $11,084.18 $11,125.52 $-144.90
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $254.29 43 $10,934.47
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $254.65 43 $10,949.95 $11,141.00 +$15.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $260.26 42 $10,930.71
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.27 42 $10,847.34 $11,057.63 $-83.37
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $255.14 43 $10,971.02
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:20am ET $256.15 43 $11,014.45 $11,101.06 +$43.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $274.57 40 $10,982.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $276.12 40 $11,044.80 $11,163.06 +$62.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $275.45 40 $11,018.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $278.53 40 $11,141.20 $11,286.26 +$123.20
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $274.84 41 $11,268.44
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $273.57 41 $11,216.37 $11,234.19 $-52.07
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $273.64 41 $11,219.44
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $273.70 41 $11,221.74 $11,236.49 +$2.30
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $276.29 40 $11,051.60
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $276.14 40 $11,045.60 $11,230.49 $-6.00
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,230.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,230.49
Total Return: +12.30%
Back to Professor Mean