ABBV Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
-8.07%
Year to Date Return
$9,242.62
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,053.62
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
15.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.8
30-Day Momentum
16
-0.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,108
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,053.62
Current Value
$9,242.62
Period P&L
$-811.01
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
31 /
19
Best Trade
+1.50%
Worst Trade
-8.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$929,139.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-811.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-811.01
Gross Return
-8.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,053.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $228.89 | 43 | $9,842.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $229.24 | 43 | $9,857.11 | $10,068.68 |
+$15.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $219.12 | 45 | $9,860.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $219.38 | 45 | $9,871.88 | $10,080.16 |
+$11.47 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $229.54 | 43 | $9,870.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $227.72 | 43 | $9,791.96 | $10,001.90 |
$-78.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $223.30 | 44 | $9,825.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $224.38 | 44 | $9,872.83 | $10,049.53 |
+$47.63 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.15 | 46 | $9,988.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $216.80 | 46 | $9,972.80 | $10,033.43 |
$-16.10 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $219.09 | 45 | $9,859.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $219.51 | 45 | $9,877.73 | $10,052.10 |
+$18.67 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $216.80 | 46 | $9,972.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $215.61 | 46 | $9,918.06 | $9,997.36 |
$-54.74 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $213.26 | 46 | $9,809.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $213.56 | 46 | $9,823.76 | $10,011.16 |
+$13.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $217.69 | 45 | $9,796.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $218.55 | 45 | $9,834.63 | $10,049.74 |
+$38.58 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $219.83 | 45 | $9,892.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $220.15 | 45 | $9,906.75 | $10,064.14 |
+$14.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.41 | 45 | $9,963.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $219.84 | 45 | $9,892.80 | $9,993.49 |
$-70.65 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $222.38 | 44 | $9,784.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $220.75 | 44 | $9,713.00 | $9,921.77 |
$-71.72 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $224.82 | 44 | $9,892.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $225.00 | 44 | $9,900.00 | $9,929.69 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $225.97 | 43 | $9,716.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.65 | 43 | $8,928.74 | $9,141.71 |
$-787.97 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $214.79 | 42 | $9,021.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $216.21 | 42 | $9,081.03 | $9,201.56 |
+$59.85 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.35 | 41 | $9,116.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $221.44 | 41 | $9,079.04 | $9,164.46 |
$-37.10 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $223.37 | 41 | $9,157.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.86 | 41 | $9,014.26 | $9,020.75 |
$-143.71 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $231.46 | 38 | $8,795.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $232.46 | 38 | $8,833.67 | $9,058.94 |
+$38.19 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $226.23 | 40 | $9,049.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $226.93 | 40 | $9,077.20 | $9,086.94 |
+$28.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:15pm ET | $223.72 | 40 | $8,948.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $224.32 | 40 | $8,972.80 | $9,110.94 |
+$24.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $225.52 | 40 | $9,021.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.91 | 40 | $9,156.40 | $9,246.34 |
+$135.40 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $229.36 | 40 | $9,174.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $226.88 | 40 | $9,075.20 | $9,147.14 |
$-99.20 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $224.56 | 40 | $8,982.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.13 | 40 | $9,085.20 | $9,249.94 |
+$102.80 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $232.61 | 39 | $9,071.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $233.27 | 39 | $9,097.53 | $9,275.57 |
+$25.63 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.76 | 39 | $9,116.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $229.68 | 39 | $8,957.52 | $9,116.45 |
$-159.12 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.33 | 40 | $9,093.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $225.81 | 40 | $9,032.40 | $9,055.65 |
$-60.80 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $226.55 | 39 | $8,835.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $227.10 | 39 | $8,857.09 | $9,077.29 |
+$21.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.26 | 40 | $8,970.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $227.46 | 40 | $9,098.40 | $9,205.29 |
+$128.00 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $224.37 | 41 | $9,198.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $223.51 | 41 | $9,164.11 | $9,170.44 |
$-34.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $221.37 | 41 | $9,076.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.75 | 41 | $9,091.75 | $9,186.02 |
+$15.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $220.24 | 41 | $9,029.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.91 | 41 | $8,893.51 | $9,049.69 |
$-136.33 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $206.71 | 43 | $8,888.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $206.02 | 43 | $8,858.86 | $9,020.02 |
$-29.67 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $204.15 | 44 | $8,982.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $204.79 | 44 | $9,010.76 | $9,047.96 |
+$27.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $204.30 | 44 | $8,989.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.13 | 44 | $9,113.50 | $9,172.26 |
+$124.30 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $210.66 | 43 | $9,058.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $211.10 | 43 | $9,077.30 | $9,191.18 |
+$18.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $210.48 | 43 | $9,050.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.76 | 43 | $9,148.68 | $9,289.22 |
+$98.04 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $215.89 | 43 | $9,283.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $216.65 | 43 | $9,315.95 | $9,321.90 |
+$32.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.65 | 43 | $9,187.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.65 | 43 | $9,187.16 | $9,321.90 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $205.76 | 45 | $9,259.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $205.91 | 45 | $9,265.95 | $9,328.43 |
+$6.53 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $209.96 | 44 | $9,238.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $211.53 | 44 | $9,307.32 | $9,397.51 |
+$69.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $211.64 | 44 | $9,312.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $209.17 | 44 | $9,203.48 | $9,288.83 |
$-108.68 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $207.91 | 44 | $9,147.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $208.26 | 44 | $9,163.22 | $9,304.12 |
+$15.29 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $208.26 | 44 | $9,163.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $208.75 | 44 | $9,185.00 | $9,325.46 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.57 | 45 | $9,295.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $206.22 | 45 | $9,279.90 | $9,309.71 |
$-15.75 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $204.41 | 45 | $9,198.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $201.55 | 45 | $9,069.75 | $9,180.79 |
$-128.92 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.00 | 45 | $9,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $198.48 | 45 | $8,931.38 | $9,112.17 |
$-68.62 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.82 | 46 | $9,053.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.76 | 46 | $9,097.19 | $9,155.41 |
+$43.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $196.03 | 46 | $9,017.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $197.50 | 46 | $9,085.00 | $9,223.03 |
+$67.62 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.03 | 43 | $9,031.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $210.02 | 43 | $9,030.86 | $9,222.60 |
$-0.43 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $206.45 | 44 | $9,083.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $206.90 | 44 | $9,103.82 | $9,242.62 |
+$20.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,242.62
Net Profit/Loss:
$-757.38
Total Return:
-7.57%