AMC Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 52 trades in period
+22.80%
Year to Date Return
$21,916.74
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$17,847.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
61
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.5/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
61.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 61.2
30-Day Momentum
29
+2.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.2
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,651
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$17,847.44
Current Value
$21,916.74
Period P&L
$4,069.40
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
37 /
15
Best Trade
+3.00%
Worst Trade
-2.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,994,821.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,069.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,069.40
Gross Return
+22.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $17,847.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.55 | 11,514 | $17,846.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.57 | 11,514 | $18,019.41 | $18,020.05 |
+$172.71 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.57 | 11,514 | $18,019.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.58 | 11,514 | $18,192.12 | $18,192.76 |
+$172.71 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.52 | 11,968 | $18,191.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1.53 | 11,968 | $18,251.20 | $18,252.60 |
+$59.84 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.49 | 12,250 | $18,252.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1.48 | 12,250 | $18,130.00 | $18,130.10 |
$-122.50 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.73 | 10,479 | $18,128.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.69 | 10,479 | $17,685.41 | $17,686.84 |
$-443.26 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.61 | 10,985 | $17,685.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.59 | 10,985 | $17,452.97 | $17,453.96 |
$-232.88 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.61 | 10,874 | $17,452.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.63 | 10,874 | $17,724.62 | $17,725.81 |
+$271.85 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.58 | 11,219 | $17,724.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.59 | 11,219 | $17,826.99 | $17,827.90 |
+$102.09 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.64 | 10,903 | $17,826.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.60 | 10,903 | $17,444.80 | $17,446.30 |
$-381.60 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.64 | 10,638 | $17,445.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.65 | 10,638 | $17,563.34 | $17,564.38 |
+$118.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.52 | 11,593 | $17,563.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.50 | 11,593 | $17,389.50 | $17,390.48 |
$-173.89 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.44 | 12,076 | $17,389.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.45 | 12,076 | $17,498.12 | $17,499.17 |
+$108.68 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.43 | 12,237 | $17,498.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.40 | 12,237 | $17,131.80 | $17,132.06 |
$-367.11 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.44 | 11,897 | $17,131.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.41 | 11,897 | $16,774.77 | $16,775.15 |
$-356.91 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.46 | 11,529 | $16,774.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1.47 | 11,529 | $16,947.63 | $16,948.08 |
+$172.93 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.37 | 12,370 | $16,946.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.38 | 12,370 | $17,008.75 | $17,009.93 |
+$61.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.34 | 12,693 | $17,008.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.36 | 12,693 | $17,199.02 | $17,200.32 |
+$190.39 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.23 | 13,961 | $17,199.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.25 | 13,961 | $17,381.45 | $17,381.81 |
+$181.49 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1.24 | 14,017 | $17,381.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.25 | 14,017 | $17,519.85 | $17,520.58 |
+$138.77 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.21 | 14,478 | $17,519.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.23 | 14,478 | $17,735.55 | $17,736.30 |
+$215.72 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.17 | 15,159 | $17,736.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.18 | 15,159 | $17,887.62 | $17,887.89 |
+$151.59 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.16 | 15,354 | $17,887.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.18 | 15,354 | $18,117.72 | $18,118.20 |
+$230.31 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.14 | 15,893 | $18,118.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.16 | 15,893 | $18,412.04 | $18,412.22 |
+$294.02 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.12 | 16,464 | $18,411.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.14 | 16,464 | $18,826.58 | $18,827.11 |
+$414.89 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.15 | 16,371 | $18,826.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1.12 | 16,371 | $18,383.00 | $18,383.46 |
$-443.65 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.16 | 15,779 | $18,382.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.20 | 15,779 | $18,934.80 | $18,935.73 |
+$552.27 (+3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.18 | 16,045 | $18,934.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.18 | 16,045 | $18,933.10 | $18,934.13 |
$-1.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.10 | 17,212 | $18,933.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.11 | 17,212 | $19,105.32 | $19,106.25 |
+$172.12 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1.09 | 17,528 | $19,105.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.11 | 17,528 | $19,368.44 | $19,369.17 |
+$262.92 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.09 | 17,769 | $19,368.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.11 | 17,769 | $19,634.75 | $19,635.70 |
+$266.53 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.09 | 18,097 | $19,635.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.10 | 18,097 | $19,906.70 | $19,907.15 |
+$271.45 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1.08 | 18,432 | $19,906.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.09 | 18,432 | $19,998.72 | $19,999.31 |
+$92.16 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.01 | 19,703 | $19,998.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.03 | 19,703 | $20,294.09 | $20,294.85 |
+$295.54 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1.01 | 20,093 | $20,293.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.02 | 20,093 | $20,454.67 | $20,455.59 |
+$160.74 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.03 | 19,859 | $20,454.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1.04 | 19,859 | $20,615.63 | $20,616.45 |
+$160.86 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $0.9772 | 21,097 | $20,615.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.9924 | 21,097 | $20,936.66 | $20,937.12 |
+$320.67 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $0.9826 | 21,307 | $20,936.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $0.9898 | 21,307 | $21,089.67 | $21,090.53 |
+$153.41 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $0.9508 | 22,181 | $21,089.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.9438 | 22,181 | $20,934.43 | $20,935.26 |
$-155.27 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1.00 | 20,935 | $20,935.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.01 | 20,935 | $21,144.35 | $21,144.61 |
+$209.35 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.07 | 19,761 | $21,144.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.09 | 19,761 | $21,440.69 | $21,441.02 |
+$296.41 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.22 | 17,557 | $21,440.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.20 | 17,557 | $21,066.64 | $21,067.06 |
$-373.96 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.33 | 15,899 | $21,066.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.30 | 15,899 | $20,748.19 | $20,749.08 |
$-317.98 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.36 | 15,302 | $20,747.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.36 | 15,302 | $20,734.21 | $20,735.31 |
$-13.77 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.57 | 13,186 | $20,734.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.59 | 13,186 | $20,965.74 | $20,966.07 |
+$230.76 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.85 | 11,333 | $20,966.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.81 | 11,333 | $20,511.60 | $20,511.62 |
$-454.45 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.67 | 12,281 | $20,510.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.71 | 12,281 | $20,963.67 | $20,964.79 |
+$453.17 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.71 | 12,296 | $20,964.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.72 | 12,296 | $21,087.64 | $21,087.75 |
+$122.96 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.62 | 13,016 | $21,087.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.64 | 13,016 | $21,411.32 | $21,411.85 |
+$324.10 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.60 | 13,381 | $21,410.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.63 | 13,381 | $21,744.13 | $21,745.04 |
+$333.19 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.53 | 14,166 | $21,744.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.51 | 14,166 | $21,461.49 | $21,461.72 |
$-283.32 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.44 | 14,905 | $21,461.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.45 | 14,905 | $21,537.73 | $21,537.74 |
+$76.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.41 | 15,221 | $21,537.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.44 | 15,221 | $21,916.72 | $21,916.74 |
+$379.00 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,916.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,916.74
Total Return:
+119.17%