AMD Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 52 trades in period
-0.51%
Year to Date Return
$9,965.56
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,017.01
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
12.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.9
30-Day Momentum
36
+3.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.2
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,336
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,017.01
Current Value
$9,965.56
Period P&L
$-51.43
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
29 /
23
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,010,424.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-51.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-51.43
Gross Return
-0.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,017.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $223.24 | 44 | $9,822.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $221.26 | 44 | $9,735.44 | $9,929.87 |
$-87.12 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.93 | 47 | $9,772.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $210.46 | 47 | $9,891.62 | $10,048.78 |
+$118.91 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $203.59 | 49 | $9,975.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $204.31 | 49 | $10,011.19 | $10,084.07 |
+$35.29 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $204.16 | 49 | $10,003.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.71 | 49 | $10,079.79 | $10,160.26 |
+$76.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.02 | 45 | $9,945.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.25 | 45 | $9,776.25 | $9,990.61 |
$-169.65 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $235.15 | 42 | $9,876.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $232.45 | 42 | $9,762.69 | $9,877.21 |
$-113.40 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $228.88 | 43 | $9,841.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $233.27 | 43 | $10,030.61 | $10,065.98 |
+$188.77 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $246.91 | 40 | $9,876.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $245.76 | 40 | $9,830.40 | $10,020.18 |
$-45.80 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $253.03 | 39 | $9,868.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $254.06 | 39 | $9,908.34 | $10,060.35 |
+$40.17 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.31 | 39 | $9,918.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $253.80 | 39 | $9,898.20 | $10,040.46 |
$-19.89 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $251.71 | 39 | $9,816.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $251.09 | 39 | $9,792.51 | $10,016.28 |
$-24.18 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $248.14 | 40 | $9,925.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $244.75 | 40 | $9,790.00 | $9,880.68 |
$-135.60 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $238.33 | 41 | $9,771.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $239.68 | 41 | $9,826.88 | $9,936.03 |
+$55.35 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $246.34 | 40 | $9,853.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.48 | 40 | $9,979.20 | $10,061.83 |
+$125.80 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 47 | $9,948.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $202.00 | 47 | $9,494.00 | $9,607.81 |
$-454.02 (-4.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $192.64 | 49 | $9,439.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $193.04 | 49 | $9,459.16 | $9,627.61 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $206.27 | 46 | $9,488.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $206.96 | 46 | $9,520.16 | $9,659.35 |
+$31.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $214.72 | 44 | $9,447.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $216.33 | 44 | $9,518.52 | $9,730.19 |
+$70.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $210.95 | 46 | $9,703.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $214.59 | 46 | $9,871.14 | $9,897.63 |
+$167.44 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.15 | 48 | $9,702.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $200.05 | 48 | $9,602.40 | $9,797.07 |
$-100.56 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $201.85 | 48 | $9,688.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $199.13 | 48 | $9,558.48 | $9,666.75 |
$-130.32 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.14 | 48 | $9,606.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $202.57 | 48 | $9,723.48 | $9,783.51 |
+$116.76 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $197.20 | 49 | $9,662.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $196.09 | 49 | $9,608.41 | $9,729.36 |
$-54.15 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $212.51 | 45 | $9,562.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $213.81 | 45 | $9,621.45 | $9,787.86 |
+$58.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.75 | 47 | $9,623.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $203.17 | 47 | $9,548.99 | $9,713.60 |
$-74.26 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.81 | 50 | $9,690.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $195.07 | 50 | $9,753.25 | $9,776.35 |
+$62.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.77 | 49 | $9,690.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.93 | 49 | $9,894.33 | $9,979.94 |
+$203.59 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $196.65 | 50 | $9,832.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $193.20 | 50 | $9,659.75 | $9,806.94 |
$-173.00 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $204.12 | 48 | $9,797.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $204.53 | 48 | $9,817.44 | $9,826.62 |
+$19.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.95 | 48 | $9,741.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $198.76 | 48 | $9,540.48 | $9,625.50 |
$-201.12 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $193.29 | 49 | $9,471.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $193.75 | 49 | $9,493.75 | $9,648.06 |
+$22.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $195.63 | 49 | $9,585.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $196.23 | 49 | $9,615.27 | $9,677.70 |
+$29.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.97 | 49 | $9,553.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $198.01 | 49 | $9,702.49 | $9,826.66 |
+$148.96 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $205.38 | 47 | $9,652.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $203.91 | 47 | $9,583.89 | $9,757.93 |
$-68.73 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $201.13 | 48 | $9,654.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $202.37 | 48 | $9,713.52 | $9,817.08 |
+$59.15 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $219.67 | 44 | $9,665.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.85 | 44 | $9,585.62 | $9,737.22 |
$-79.86 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.85 | 48 | $9,688.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $199.52 | 48 | $9,576.96 | $9,625.38 |
$-111.84 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 49 | $9,501.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.36 | 49 | $9,621.64 | $9,745.68 |
+$120.30 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $212.49 | 45 | $9,562.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $210.59 | 45 | $9,476.33 | $9,659.73 |
$-85.95 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $219.36 | 44 | $9,651.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $219.90 | 44 | $9,675.40 | $9,683.29 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $217.54 | 44 | $9,571.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $219.09 | 44 | $9,639.96 | $9,751.71 |
+$68.42 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $244.32 | 39 | $9,528.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $244.18 | 39 | $9,523.02 | $9,746.25 |
$-5.46 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $255.34 | 38 | $9,702.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $254.15 | 38 | $9,657.70 | $9,701.22 |
$-45.03 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $273.57 | 35 | $9,574.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $274.30 | 35 | $9,600.37 | $9,726.82 |
+$25.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $273.34 | 35 | $9,567.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $274.26 | 35 | $9,599.10 | $9,758.88 |
+$32.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $282.42 | 34 | $9,602.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 34 | $9,903.18 | $10,059.78 |
+$300.90 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $305.58 | 32 | $9,778.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $305.40 | 32 | $9,772.96 | $10,054.18 |
$-5.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.27 | 29 | $9,809.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $335.64 | 29 | $9,733.70 | $9,978.06 |
$-76.13 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $322.96 | 30 | $9,688.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.58 | 30 | $9,797.40 | $10,086.66 |
+$108.60 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $334.23 | 30 | $10,027.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $339.93 | 30 | $10,197.90 | $10,257.51 |
+$170.85 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.94 | 28 | $9,966.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $341.61 | 28 | $9,565.02 | $9,856.21 |
$-401.30 (-4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $353.24 | 27 | $9,537.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $357.29 | 27 | $9,646.83 | $9,965.56 |
+$109.35 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,965.56
Net Profit/Loss:
$-34.44
Total Return:
-0.34%