Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,162
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,245.69
Current Value
$12,891.23
Period P&L
$645.55
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+4.32%
Worst Trade
-1.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$460,353.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$645.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$645.55
Gross Return
+5.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,245.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $115.21 106 $12,212.26
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $114.85 106 $12,174.10 $12,207.53 $-38.16
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $116.17 105 $12,197.85
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $116.08 105 $12,188.40 $12,198.08 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $115.21 105 $12,097.33
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $115.20 105 $12,095.99 $12,196.73 $-1.34
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $112.32 108 $12,130.02
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $112.74 108 $12,175.92 $12,242.63 +$45.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $110.78 110 $12,186.12
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $109.59 110 $12,054.90 $12,111.42 $-131.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $110.33 109 $12,025.97
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $108.82 109 $11,860.84 $11,946.28 $-165.14
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $103.91 114 $11,845.74
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $104.20 114 $11,878.80 $11,979.34 +$33.06
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.73 113 $11,947.49
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $107.40 113 $12,136.20 $12,168.05 +$188.71
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $115.10 105 $12,084.98
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $113.75 105 $11,943.75 $12,026.83 $-141.23
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $120.64 99 $11,943.06
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $120.09 99 $11,888.91 $11,972.67 $-54.15
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $115.84 103 $11,931.01
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $115.76 103 $11,923.28 $11,964.95 $-7.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $115.62 103 $11,908.86
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $115.89 103 $11,936.67 $11,992.76 +$27.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $109.22 109 $11,904.98
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $109.89 109 $11,977.64 $12,065.42 +$72.66
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $105.91 113 $11,967.83
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $106.43 113 $12,026.03 $12,123.61 +$58.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $107.38 112 $12,026.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $106.15 112 $11,888.80 $11,985.85 $-137.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $104.01 115 $11,961.15
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $104.67 115 $12,037.05 $12,061.75 +$75.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.63 108 $12,055.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $116.45 108 $12,576.20 $12,582.45 +$520.70
(+4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 105 $12,519.17
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $122.49 105 $12,861.45 $12,924.73 +$342.28
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $129.08 100 $12,908.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $128.74 100 $12,874.50 $12,891.23 $-33.50
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,891.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,891.23
Total Return: +28.91%
Back to Professor Mean