Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:26:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 38.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.6

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,022
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,871.29
Current Value
$13,428.65
Period P&L
$1,557.34
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
46 / 26
Best Trade
+6.70%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,761,580.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,557.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,557.34
Gross Return
+13.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,871.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $347.14 34 $11,802.76
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $356.40 34 $12,117.43 $12,222.36 +$314.67
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $344.89 35 $12,071.26
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 35 $11,872.00 $12,023.10 $-199.25
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $339.69 35 $11,888.98
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $342.97 35 $12,003.95 $12,138.08 +$114.98
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $344.91 35 $12,071.85
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $340.37 35 $11,912.78 $11,979.00 $-159.08
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $345.45 34 $11,745.30
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $351.24 34 $11,942.16 $12,175.86 +$196.86
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $356.13 34 $12,108.42
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:10pm ET $358.12 34 $12,176.08 $12,243.52 +$67.66
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $335.40 36 $12,074.57
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $337.42 36 $12,147.12 $12,316.07 +$72.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $344.09 35 $12,043.15
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $348.34 35 $12,192.05 $12,464.97 +$148.90
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $344.84 36 $12,414.06
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.60 36 $12,045.60 $12,096.51 $-368.46
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $329.67 36 $11,868.01
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 36 $11,364.12 $11,592.62 $-503.89
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $326.77 35 $11,436.95
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $328.01 35 $11,480.18 $11,635.84 +$43.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $330.18 35 $11,556.13
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $329.12 35 $11,519.20 $11,598.92 $-36.93
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $328.83 35 $11,508.88
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $327.61 35 $11,466.35 $11,556.39 $-42.52
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $328.79 35 $11,507.65
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $331.22 35 $11,592.70 $11,641.44 +$85.05
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $327.89 35 $11,475.98
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $324.83 35 $11,369.05 $11,534.52 $-106.93
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET $304.45 37 $11,264.65
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $299.86 37 $11,094.64 $11,364.50 $-170.02
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $313.77 36 $11,295.72
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $320.78 36 $11,548.08 $11,616.86 +$252.36
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $344.93 33 $11,382.69
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.34 33 $11,363.22 $11,597.39 $-19.47
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $336.86 34 $11,453.24
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:55am ET $339.20 34 $11,532.80 $11,676.95 +$79.56
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $319.55 36 $11,503.80
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $325.63 36 $11,722.68 $11,895.83 +$218.88
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.60 35 $11,711.00
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $335.30 35 $11,735.50 $11,920.33 +$24.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $331.08 36 $11,918.88
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $333.14 36 $11,992.92 $11,994.37 +$74.04
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $329.87 36 $11,875.32
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $331.93 36 $11,949.48 $12,068.53 +$74.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $323.59 37 $11,972.83
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $324.71 37 $12,014.27 $12,109.97 +$41.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $331.18 36 $11,922.66
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $322.21 36 $11,599.74 $11,787.05 $-322.92
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $310.38 37 $11,483.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET $317.61 37 $11,751.57 $12,054.74 +$267.69
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $314.66 38 $11,957.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $316.33 38 $12,020.54 $12,118.20 +$63.46
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $319.02 37 $11,803.65
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $329.82 37 $12,203.16 $12,517.71 +$399.51
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $338.12 37 $12,510.27
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $331.52 37 $12,266.24 $12,273.68 $-244.03
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $342.60 35 $11,991.00
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $342.60 35 $11,990.83 $12,273.50 $-0.18
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $337.22 36 $12,139.92
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $334.55 36 $12,043.80 $12,177.38 $-96.12
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $322.33 37 $11,926.03
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $324.05 37 $11,989.85 $12,241.20 +$63.82
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $326.65 37 $12,086.05
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $328.63 37 $12,159.31 $12,314.46 +$73.26
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $317.85 38 $12,078.30
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $318.41 38 $12,099.58 $12,335.74 +$21.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $317.17 38 $12,052.27
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $316.00 38 $12,008.00 $12,291.47 $-44.27
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $321.64 38 $12,222.32
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $320.97 38 $12,196.86 $12,266.01 $-25.46
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $318.57 38 $12,105.66
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $320.20 38 $12,167.60 $12,327.95 +$61.94
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.52 39 $12,071.47
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 39 $11,887.59 $12,144.07 $-183.88
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $300.20 40 $12,008.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET $296.88 40 $11,875.20 $12,011.27 $-132.80
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $312.77 38 $11,885.26
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $312.87 38 $11,889.06 $12,015.07 +$3.80
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $310.76 38 $11,808.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $313.54 38 $11,914.33 $12,120.52 +$105.45
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 36 $11,837.52
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $332.10 36 $11,955.42 $12,238.42 +$117.90
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.63 34 $12,125.42
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $357.67 34 $12,160.61 $12,273.61 +$35.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $372.24 32 $11,911.84
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $370.36 32 $11,851.36 $12,213.13 $-60.48
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $376.70 32 $12,054.29
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:45am ET $379.41 32 $12,141.12 $12,299.96 +$86.83
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET $392.36 31 $12,163.01
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $393.92 31 $12,211.52 $12,348.48 +$48.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $396.52 31 $12,292.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $397.10 31 $12,310.10 $12,366.46 +$17.98
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $399.70 30 $11,991.10
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $406.98 30 $12,209.40 $12,584.76 +$218.30
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $424.93 29 $12,323.11
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $422.38 29 $12,248.88 $12,510.52 $-74.24
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $420.46 29 $12,193.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $417.26 29 $12,100.54 $12,417.72 $-92.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $399.65 31 $12,389.15
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $403.08 31 $12,495.63 $12,524.20 +$106.48
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
52 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.00 29 $12,180.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $418.59 29 $12,139.11 $12,483.31 $-40.89
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
53 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $428.83 29 $12,436.07
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $435.04 29 $12,616.16 $12,663.40 +$180.09
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
54 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $418.61 30 $12,558.30
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $420.74 30 $12,622.20 $12,727.30 +$63.90
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
55 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $428.43 29 $12,424.47
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $429.86 29 $12,465.94 $12,768.77 +$41.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
56 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $410.73 31 $12,732.48
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:45am ET $412.96 31 $12,801.76 $12,838.05 +$69.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
57 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $425.81 30 $12,774.30
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 11:30am ET $425.90 30 $12,776.88 $12,840.63 +$2.58
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
58 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $415.20 30 $12,456.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $418.37 30 $12,551.10 $12,935.73 +$95.10
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
59 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $409.51 31 $12,694.81
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $412.80 31 $12,796.95 $13,037.87 +$102.14
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
60 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $413.73 31 $12,825.48
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $419.28 31 $12,997.68 $13,210.08 +$172.21
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
61 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $411.73 32 $13,175.36
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $413.17 32 $13,221.44 $13,256.16 +$46.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
62 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $417.01 31 $12,927.16
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $421.43 31 $13,064.33 $13,393.33 +$137.17
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
63 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $437.58 30 $13,127.40
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $436.42 30 $13,092.60 $13,358.53 $-34.80
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $457.67 29 $13,272.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 29 $14,161.86 $14,247.96 +$889.43
(+6.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $485.34 29 $14,074.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.07 29 $13,864.03 $14,037.13 $-210.83
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 34 $13,735.95
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $395.64 34 $13,451.76 $13,752.94 $-284.19
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.23 36 $13,724.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $375.90 36 $13,532.40 $13,561.24 $-191.70
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $379.76 35 $13,291.43
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $381.27 35 $13,344.45 $13,614.26 +$53.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 34 $13,255.92
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $379.77 34 $12,912.18 $13,270.52 $-343.74
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $395.78 33 $13,060.74
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $397.57 33 $13,119.65 $13,329.43 +$58.91
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $406.83 32 $13,018.56
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $408.10 32 $13,059.04 $13,369.91 +$40.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $393.89 33 $12,998.37
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $395.67 33 $13,057.11 $13,428.65 +$58.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,428.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,428.65
Total Return: +34.29%
Back to Professor Mean