Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,999
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,989.55
Current Value
$11,089.69
Period P&L
$100.23
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-0.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$365,996.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$100.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$100.23
Gross Return
+0.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,989.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $369.17 29 $10,705.93
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $370.56 29 $10,746.24 $11,029.78 +$40.31
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $381.29 28 $10,675.98
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $379.01 28 $10,612.24 $10,966.03 $-63.74
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $380.68 28 $10,659.04
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $379.36 28 $10,622.08 $10,929.07 $-36.96
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $379.74 28 $10,632.65
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $380.33 28 $10,649.24 $10,945.66 +$16.59
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $358.85 30 $10,765.50
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $357.83 30 $10,734.90 $10,915.06 $-30.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $355.27 30 $10,658.10
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $352.60 30 $10,577.85 $10,834.81 $-80.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $356.85 30 $10,705.35
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $357.45 30 $10,723.50 $10,852.96 +$18.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $357.35 30 $10,720.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $360.68 30 $10,820.40 $10,952.86 +$99.90
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $361.48 30 $10,844.40
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $360.16 30 $10,804.80 $10,913.26 $-39.60
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $361.09 30 $10,832.70
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $361.53 30 $10,845.90 $10,926.46 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $360.01 30 $10,800.15
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $360.38 30 $10,811.40 $10,937.71 +$11.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $356.70 30 $10,701.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $358.40 30 $10,751.85 $10,988.56 +$50.85
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:30am ET $350.82 31 $10,875.42
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $352.62 31 $10,931.22 $11,044.36 +$55.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $350.99 31 $10,880.69
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $348.55 31 $10,805.05 $10,968.72 $-75.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.07 31 $10,883.17
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET $354.89 31 $11,001.44 $11,086.99 +$118.27
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $359.89 30 $10,796.55
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $360.32 30 $10,809.45 $11,099.89 +$12.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $360.37 30 $10,811.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $360.03 30 $10,800.90 $11,089.69 $-10.20
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,089.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,089.69
Total Return: +10.90%
Back to Professor Mean