BAC Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
-2.33%
Year to Date Return
$10,274.87
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,520.34
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
4.6/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
16.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 16.7
30-Day Momentum
14
-2.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,249
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,520.34
Current Value
$10,274.87
Period P&L
$-245.42
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
27 /
22
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-2.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$999,610.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-245.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-245.42
Gross Return
-2.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,520.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $57.13 | 184 | $10,512.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.18 | 184 | $10,520.20 | $10,528.17 |
+$7.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.57 | 186 | $10,521.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.08 | 186 | $10,429.95 | $10,437.03 |
$-91.14 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $56.39 | 185 | $10,431.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $56.29 | 185 | $10,412.73 | $10,418.53 |
$-18.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.01 | 186 | $10,416.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.01 | 186 | $10,230.93 | $10,232.53 |
$-186.00 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.86 | 186 | $10,203.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $55.05 | 186 | $10,238.37 | $10,266.94 |
+$34.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.67 | 194 | $10,217.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $52.49 | 194 | $10,183.06 | $10,232.02 |
$-34.92 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $52.54 | 194 | $10,191.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $52.13 | 194 | $10,113.22 | $10,153.45 |
$-78.57 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $52.80 | 192 | $10,137.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $52.47 | 192 | $10,074.24 | $10,090.09 |
$-63.36 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $52.05 | 193 | $10,044.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $52.03 | 193 | $10,040.90 | $10,086.31 |
$-3.78 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $51.81 | 194 | $10,050.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $51.62 | 194 | $10,013.56 | $10,049.70 |
$-36.61 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $52.98 | 189 | $10,013.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.04 | 189 | $10,024.56 | $10,061.04 |
+$11.34 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.92 | 186 | $10,028.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.84 | 186 | $10,014.24 | $10,047.09 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $55.42 | 181 | $10,031.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $55.33 | 181 | $10,013.83 | $10,028.99 |
$-18.10 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $54.83 | 182 | $9,979.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.75 | 182 | $10,146.50 | $10,195.52 |
+$166.53 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.30 | 181 | $10,190.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.59 | 181 | $10,242.79 | $10,248.01 |
+$52.49 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.38 | 181 | $10,204.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $54.87 | 181 | $9,931.45 | $9,974.68 |
$-273.33 (-2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $52.90 | 188 | $9,944.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $52.78 | 188 | $9,921.70 | $9,952.12 |
$-22.56 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.28 | 186 | $9,910.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $53.31 | 186 | $9,916.59 | $9,958.63 |
+$6.51 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $52.13 | 191 | $9,957.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $52.53 | 191 | $10,033.23 | $10,034.08 |
+$75.45 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.90 | 193 | $10,015.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $51.53 | 193 | $9,944.33 | $9,962.67 |
$-71.41 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET | $51.50 | 193 | $9,939.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $51.67 | 193 | $9,971.35 | $9,994.52 |
+$31.85 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.27 | 194 | $9,946.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.98 | 194 | $9,890.12 | $9,938.26 |
$-56.26 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.90 | 203 | $9,926.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $49.78 | 203 | $10,104.61 | $10,116.17 |
+$177.91 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.61 | 203 | $10,070.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.91 | 203 | $10,131.73 | $10,177.07 |
+$60.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $49.44 | 205 | $10,135.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $49.58 | 205 | $10,162.88 | $10,204.81 |
+$27.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.95 | 212 | $10,165.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $47.47 | 212 | $10,063.64 | $10,103.05 |
$-101.76 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $48.37 | 208 | $10,060.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $48.60 | 208 | $10,107.76 | $10,149.85 |
+$46.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.45 | 213 | $10,106.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $47.21 | 213 | $10,054.67 | $10,097.67 |
$-52.18 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $47.22 | 213 | $10,057.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $46.96 | 213 | $10,001.42 | $10,041.23 |
$-56.44 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $47.31 | 212 | $10,030.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.42 | 212 | $10,053.04 | $10,063.49 |
+$22.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.40 | 216 | $10,022.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $46.60 | 216 | $10,065.60 | $10,106.69 |
+$43.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $46.81 | 215 | $10,064.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.13 | 215 | $10,131.88 | $10,174.41 |
+$67.72 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.02 | 216 | $10,156.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $47.73 | 216 | $10,309.68 | $10,327.77 |
+$153.36 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $48.35 | 213 | $10,297.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $48.58 | 213 | $10,348.60 | $10,378.89 |
+$51.12 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $48.15 | 215 | $10,353.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $48.22 | 215 | $10,368.37 | $10,393.94 |
+$15.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $47.24 | 220 | $10,393.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.56 | 220 | $10,463.20 | $10,463.24 |
+$69.30 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $49.17 | 212 | $10,425.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $49.32 | 212 | $10,455.84 | $10,493.98 |
+$30.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.80 | 210 | $10,458.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $50.04 | 210 | $10,509.45 | $10,545.43 |
+$51.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $52.67 | 200 | $10,535.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $52.73 | 200 | $10,546.00 | $10,556.43 |
+$11.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $52.62 | 200 | $10,523.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.19 | 200 | $10,438.00 | $10,471.43 |
$-85.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $53.31 | 196 | $10,448.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $53.42 | 196 | $10,469.34 | $10,492.01 |
+$20.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $54.04 | 194 | $10,483.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $54.30 | 194 | $10,534.20 | $10,542.94 |
+$50.93 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $54.22 | 194 | $10,518.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.50 | 194 | $10,379.00 | $10,403.26 |
$-139.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.95 | 192 | $10,358.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.55 | 192 | $10,281.60 | $10,326.46 |
$-76.80 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.88 | 195 | $10,311.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.08 | 195 | $10,349.63 | $10,364.48 |
+$38.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $52.79 | 196 | $10,346.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $52.46 | 196 | $10,282.16 | $10,299.80 |
$-64.68 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.45 | 192 | $10,262.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $53.58 | 192 | $10,287.36 | $10,324.76 |
+$24.96 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $52.69 | 195 | $10,274.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $52.35 | 195 | $10,207.28 | $10,257.50 |
$-67.26 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.11 | 193 | $10,250.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $53.20 | 193 | $10,267.60 | $10,274.87 |
+$17.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,274.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$274.87
Total Return:
+2.75%