Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,279
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,618.55
Current Value
$10,617.84
Period P&L
$-0.71
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+1.03%
Worst Trade
-0.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$375,226.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-0.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-0.71
Gross Return
-0.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,618.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:15pm ET $863.18 12 $10,358.10
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $855.58 12 $10,266.96 $10,541.52 $-91.14
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $890.16 11 $9,791.76
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET $886.13 11 $9,747.38 $10,497.14 $-44.38
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.06 11 $10,175.61
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $921.40 11 $10,135.40 $10,456.93 $-40.20
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $923.97 11 $10,163.67
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $925.64 11 $10,181.99 $10,475.25 +$18.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $938.33 11 $10,321.65
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $936.23 11 $10,298.53 $10,452.13 $-23.12
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $953.39 10 $9,533.90
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $955.34 10 $9,553.40 $10,471.63 +$19.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $955.31 10 $9,553.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $956.85 10 $9,568.50 $10,487.03 +$15.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $964.51 10 $9,645.10
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $967.95 10 $9,679.49 $10,521.41 +$34.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $980.54 10 $9,805.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $973.99 10 $9,739.90 $10,455.91 $-65.50
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $979.81 10 $9,798.10
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $981.70 10 $9,817.00 $10,474.81 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $976.62 10 $9,766.20
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $978.28 10 $9,782.80 $10,491.41 +$16.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $967.73 10 $9,677.25
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $964.81 10 $9,648.05 $10,462.21 $-29.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $952.26 10 $9,522.60
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $957.93 10 $9,579.30 $10,518.91 +$56.70
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:35am ET $933.50 11 $10,268.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $934.29 11 $10,277.19 $10,527.60 +$8.69
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $982.92 10 $9,829.15
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $978.06 10 $9,780.60 $10,479.05 $-48.55
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $982.95 10 $9,829.45
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $993.09 10 $9,930.85 $10,580.45 +$101.40
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $984.95 10 $9,849.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $994.15 10 $9,941.49 $10,672.44 +$91.99
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $997.01 10 $9,970.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $997.01 10 $9,970.10 $10,672.44 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $976.17 10 $9,761.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $970.71 10 $9,707.10 $10,617.84 $-54.60
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,617.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$617.84
Total Return: +6.18%
Back to Professor Mean