CRM Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
+10.82%
Year to Date Return
$11,079.28
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$9,997.17
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
27.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 26.6
30-Day Momentum
39
+1.7%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,074
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,997.17
Current Value
$11,079.28
Period P&L
$1,082.12
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
33 /
15
Best Trade
+2.36%
Worst Trade
-1.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$992,807.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,082.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,082.12
Gross Return
+10.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,997.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.50 | 38 | $9,937.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $259.65 | 38 | $9,866.51 | $9,926.68 |
$-70.49 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $256.82 | 38 | $9,759.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $256.92 | 38 | $9,762.96 | $9,930.50 |
+$3.82 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $266.61 | 37 | $9,864.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.69 | 37 | $9,719.57 | $9,785.68 |
$-144.82 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.94 | 37 | $9,580.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $259.82 | 37 | $9,613.34 | $9,818.24 |
+$32.56 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $260.03 | 37 | $9,621.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $260.74 | 37 | $9,647.20 | $9,844.32 |
+$26.09 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $240.61 | 40 | $9,624.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $241.70 | 40 | $9,668.00 | $9,888.12 |
+$43.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $234.87 | 42 | $9,864.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $232.96 | 42 | $9,784.32 | $9,808.11 |
$-80.01 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $228.48 | 42 | $9,596.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $227.18 | 42 | $9,541.35 | $9,753.30 |
$-54.81 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $227.85 | 42 | $9,569.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.04 | 42 | $9,577.68 | $9,761.28 |
+$7.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $229.37 | 42 | $9,633.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.78 | 42 | $9,860.76 | $9,988.50 |
+$227.22 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $228.95 | 43 | $9,844.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $230.29 | 43 | $9,902.26 | $10,045.91 |
+$57.41 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $212.59 | 47 | $9,991.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $211.57 | 47 | $9,943.79 | $9,997.97 |
$-47.94 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $210.18 | 47 | $9,878.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $210.93 | 47 | $9,913.71 | $10,033.45 |
+$35.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.37 | 52 | $9,951.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $195.45 | 52 | $10,163.40 | $10,245.61 |
+$212.16 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $190.40 | 53 | $10,091.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $191.29 | 53 | $10,138.37 | $10,292.78 |
+$47.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $193.25 | 53 | $10,242.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $194.11 | 53 | $10,287.83 | $10,338.36 |
+$45.58 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $194.43 | 53 | $10,304.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET | $194.08 | 53 | $10,286.24 | $10,319.81 |
$-18.55 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $184.43 | 55 | $10,143.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $185.10 | 55 | $10,180.23 | $10,356.39 |
+$36.58 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $187.45 | 55 | $10,309.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $184.98 | 55 | $10,173.63 | $10,220.27 |
$-136.12 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.95 | 54 | $10,095.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.59 | 54 | $9,913.86 | $10,038.83 |
$-181.44 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $186.39 | 53 | $9,878.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $186.19 | 53 | $9,868.07 | $10,028.23 |
$-10.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.03 | 54 | $9,883.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $187.33 | 54 | $10,115.82 | $10,260.43 |
+$232.20 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.42 | 53 | $10,145.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $192.20 | 53 | $10,186.60 | $10,301.77 |
+$41.34 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.49 | 54 | $10,286.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $193.30 | 54 | $10,438.20 | $10,453.51 |
+$151.74 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $194.12 | 53 | $10,288.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $195.93 | 53 | $10,384.55 | $10,549.71 |
+$96.20 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $200.07 | 52 | $10,403.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $200.04 | 52 | $10,402.08 | $10,548.15 |
$-1.56 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $196.23 | 53 | $10,399.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $197.25 | 53 | $10,454.25 | $10,602.47 |
+$54.32 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $194.29 | 54 | $10,491.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $195.27 | 54 | $10,544.58 | $10,655.39 |
+$52.92 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $198.85 | 53 | $10,539.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $199.15 | 53 | $10,554.69 | $10,671.02 |
+$15.63 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $192.47 | 55 | $10,585.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.73 | 55 | $10,764.88 | $10,850.05 |
+$179.03 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $196.50 | 55 | $10,807.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $196.71 | 55 | $10,819.04 | $10,861.59 |
+$11.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $193.65 | 56 | $10,844.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $194.01 | 56 | $10,864.84 | $10,882.03 |
+$20.44 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $193.77 | 56 | $10,851.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $194.52 | 56 | $10,893.12 | $10,923.75 |
+$41.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.77 | 56 | $10,739.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.99 | 56 | $10,583.44 | $10,768.07 |
$-155.68 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $180.98 | 59 | $10,677.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $181.54 | 59 | $10,710.86 | $10,801.40 |
+$33.33 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.74 | 58 | $10,656.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $181.03 | 58 | $10,499.74 | $10,644.22 |
$-157.18 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.14 | 57 | $10,609.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.20 | 57 | $10,727.40 | $10,761.64 |
+$117.42 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.68 | 58 | $10,595.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $185.95 | 58 | $10,785.10 | $10,951.30 |
+$189.66 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.09 | 59 | $10,920.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $183.50 | 59 | $10,826.50 | $10,857.78 |
$-93.52 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $182.03 | 59 | $10,739.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $182.74 | 59 | $10,781.37 | $10,899.38 |
+$41.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $168.40 | 64 | $10,777.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $168.70 | 64 | $10,796.48 | $10,918.26 |
+$18.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $164.37 | 66 | $10,848.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $164.51 | 66 | $10,857.66 | $10,927.50 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $172.65 | 63 | $10,876.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.40 | 63 | $10,987.20 | $11,038.06 |
+$110.56 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $185.79 | 59 | $10,961.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.08 | 59 | $11,037.72 | $11,114.17 |
+$76.11 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $189.86 | 58 | $11,011.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $190.08 | 58 | $11,024.64 | $11,126.93 |
+$12.76 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $181.52 | 61 | $11,072.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $181.51 | 61 | $11,072.11 | $11,126.33 |
$-0.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.63 | 61 | $10,957.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $179.82 | 61 | $10,969.02 | $11,137.78 |
+$11.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.14 | 60 | $11,108.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $184.16 | 60 | $11,049.90 | $11,079.28 |
$-58.50 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,079.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,079.28
Total Return:
+10.79%