Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,139
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,552.09
Current Value
$9,333.90
Period P&L
$-218.18
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$296,958.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-218.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-218.18
Gross Return
-2.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,552.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $479.97 19 $9,119.43
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:55am ET $480.77 19 $9,134.63 $9,567.27 +$15.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $491.09 19 $9,330.71
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $490.45 19 $9,318.55 $9,555.11 $-12.16
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET $493.81 19 $9,382.39
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $492.99 19 $9,366.81 $9,539.53 $-15.58
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $490.35 19 $9,316.56
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $493.53 19 $9,377.07 $9,600.05 +$60.51
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $492.45 19 $9,356.55
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $492.17 19 $9,351.23 $9,594.73 $-5.32
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $494.84 19 $9,401.96
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $495.42 19 $9,412.98 $9,605.75 +$11.02
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $493.50 19 $9,376.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $486.58 19 $9,245.02 $9,474.27 $-131.48
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $487.64 19 $9,265.16
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $487.38 19 $9,260.22 $9,469.33 $-4.94
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $494.52 19 $9,395.88
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $491.20 19 $9,332.80 $9,406.25 $-63.08
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $490.69 19 $9,323.11
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $489.71 19 $9,304.49 $9,387.63 $-18.62
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $489.32 19 $9,297.08
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET $490.03 19 $9,310.57 $9,401.12 +$13.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $487.61 19 $9,264.59
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:25am ET $488.32 19 $9,278.08 $9,414.61 +$13.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET $493.64 19 $9,379.16
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $490.04 19 $9,310.76 $9,346.21 $-68.40
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $491.79 19 $9,344.01
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $490.28 19 $9,315.32 $9,317.52 $-28.69
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $498.73 18 $8,977.14
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $500.42 18 $9,007.56 $9,347.94 +$30.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $503.22 18 $9,057.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $502.44 18 $9,043.92 $9,333.90 $-14.04
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,333.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-666.10
Total Return: -6.66%
Back to Professor Mean