DIS Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 52 trades in period
+8.17%
Year to Date Return
$9,376.60
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$8,668.10
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.0
30-Day Momentum
41
+1.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,662
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,668.10
Current Value
$9,376.60
Period P&L
$708.43
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
35 /
17
Best Trade
+1.96%
Worst Trade
-0.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$946,815.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$708.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$708.43
Gross Return
+8.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,668.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $111.98 | 77 | $8,622.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.29 | 77 | $8,645.95 | $8,691.64 |
+$23.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $113.53 | 76 | $8,628.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $114.19 | 76 | $8,678.44 | $8,741.80 |
+$50.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $113.67 | 76 | $8,638.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $113.67 | 76 | $8,638.94 | $8,741.82 |
+$0.02 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $114.24 | 76 | $8,682.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.84 | 76 | $8,727.46 | $8,787.04 |
+$45.22 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.78 | 77 | $8,760.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $113.96 | 77 | $8,774.92 | $8,801.28 |
+$14.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $112.22 | 78 | $8,753.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $112.54 | 78 | $8,777.73 | $8,825.85 |
+$24.57 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $113.25 | 77 | $8,720.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $113.41 | 77 | $8,732.19 | $8,837.79 |
+$11.94 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.00 | 81 | $8,829.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $110.69 | 81 | $8,965.89 | $8,974.67 |
+$136.88 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $111.02 | 80 | $8,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $111.47 | 80 | $8,917.60 | $9,010.67 |
+$36.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $112.92 | 79 | $8,920.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $112.37 | 79 | $8,877.23 | $8,967.22 |
$-43.45 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $110.76 | 80 | $8,860.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $110.99 | 80 | $8,879.20 | $8,985.62 |
+$18.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $111.32 | 80 | $8,905.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $111.05 | 80 | $8,884.00 | $8,964.02 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $110.39 | 81 | $8,941.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $109.87 | 81 | $8,899.47 | $8,921.90 |
$-42.12 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $110.33 | 80 | $8,826.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:35pm ET | $110.73 | 80 | $8,858.00 | $8,953.50 |
+$31.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.05 | 85 | $8,929.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $107.02 | 85 | $9,096.70 | $9,120.95 |
+$167.45 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $107.34 | 84 | $9,016.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $107.59 | 84 | $9,037.64 | $9,142.03 |
+$21.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $105.10 | 86 | $9,038.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.16 | 86 | $9,215.42 | $9,319.29 |
+$177.25 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $107.67 | 86 | $9,259.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $108.05 | 86 | $9,292.30 | $9,351.97 |
+$32.68 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $110.24 | 84 | $9,260.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $109.99 | 84 | $9,239.15 | $9,330.81 |
$-21.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $108.56 | 85 | $9,227.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $108.14 | 85 | $9,191.98 | $9,295.20 |
$-35.61 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $105.18 | 88 | $9,255.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.32 | 88 | $9,268.16 | $9,307.52 |
+$12.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $106.95 | 87 | $9,304.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $107.26 | 87 | $9,331.62 | $9,334.46 |
+$26.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.84 | 89 | $9,330.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.74 | 89 | $9,321.42 | $9,325.12 |
$-9.34 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.30 | 89 | $9,282.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $103.49 | 89 | $9,210.62 | $9,253.04 |
$-72.08 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $106.24 | 87 | $9,242.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $106.51 | 87 | $9,266.37 | $9,276.97 |
+$23.93 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $105.46 | 87 | $9,175.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.72 | 87 | $9,110.67 | $9,212.62 |
$-64.35 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.39 | 89 | $9,201.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.07 | 89 | $9,173.01 | $9,183.92 |
$-28.70 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $102.77 | 89 | $9,146.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $102.71 | 89 | $9,141.63 | $9,179.02 |
$-4.90 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.93 | 90 | $9,083.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $100.83 | 90 | $9,074.70 | $9,170.02 |
$-9.00 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $101.22 | 90 | $9,109.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $101.36 | 90 | $9,122.40 | $9,182.62 |
+$12.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.13 | 91 | $9,111.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $100.50 | 91 | $9,145.95 | $9,216.75 |
+$34.13 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $99.75 | 92 | $9,177.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $99.62 | 92 | $9,165.04 | $9,204.78 |
$-11.97 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $98.78 | 93 | $9,186.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $99.11 | 93 | $9,217.69 | $9,235.93 |
+$31.15 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $99.53 | 92 | $9,156.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $99.76 | 92 | $9,178.38 | $9,258.01 |
+$22.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $99.00 | 93 | $9,207.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $99.24 | 93 | $9,229.23 | $9,280.24 |
+$22.23 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.19 | 94 | $9,229.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $97.74 | 94 | $9,187.56 | $9,237.94 |
$-42.30 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $96.01 | 96 | $9,217.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $96.25 | 96 | $9,239.52 | $9,260.31 |
+$22.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.19 | 98 | $9,230.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $93.76 | 98 | $9,188.47 | $9,218.16 |
$-42.15 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $96.95 | 95 | $9,210.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $97.23 | 95 | $9,236.85 | $9,244.76 |
+$26.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $95.66 | 96 | $9,183.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $95.66 | 96 | $9,183.36 | $9,244.76 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.01 | 94 | $9,212.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $98.40 | 94 | $9,249.60 | $9,281.42 |
+$36.66 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $99.24 | 93 | $9,229.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $99.22 | 93 | $9,227.55 | $9,279.65 |
$-1.77 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $100.97 | 91 | $9,188.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.13 | 91 | $9,202.38 | $9,293.75 |
+$14.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.20 | 90 | $9,198.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $102.24 | 90 | $9,201.61 | $9,297.36 |
+$3.61 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.83 | 87 | $9,207.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $105.83 | 87 | $9,207.64 | $9,297.79 |
+$0.43 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $106.44 | 87 | $9,260.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $106.68 | 87 | $9,281.16 | $9,318.67 |
+$20.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.99 | 89 | $9,254.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $104.47 | 89 | $9,297.83 | $9,361.84 |
+$43.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $102.34 | 91 | $9,312.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $102.50 | 91 | $9,327.50 | $9,376.40 |
+$14.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $101.17 | 92 | $9,307.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $101.83 | 92 | $9,368.36 | $9,437.12 |
+$60.72 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $100.72 | 93 | $9,366.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $100.90 | 93 | $9,384.16 | $9,454.33 |
+$17.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $103.54 | 91 | $9,422.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $103.35 | 91 | $9,404.85 | $9,437.04 |
$-17.29 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $101.60 | 92 | $9,346.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $100.94 | 92 | $9,286.30 | $9,376.60 |
$-60.44 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,376.60
Net Profit/Loss:
$-623.40
Total Return:
-6.23%