Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,131
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,974.20
Current Value
$9,814.17
Period P&L
$-160.04
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+0.45%
Worst Trade
-2.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,992.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-160.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-160.04
Gross Return
-1.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,974.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $396.92 25 $9,923.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $397.28 25 $9,932.00 $9,983.21 +$9.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $407.95 24 $9,790.80
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $408.71 24 $9,809.04 $10,001.45 +$18.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $411.79 24 $9,882.96
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $412.26 24 $9,894.24 $10,012.73 +$11.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $407.29 24 $9,774.96
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $408.85 24 $9,812.40 $10,050.17 +$37.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $413.85 24 $9,932.40
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $412.52 24 $9,900.53 $10,018.30 $-31.87
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $423.71 23 $9,745.33
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $423.18 23 $9,733.14 $10,006.11 $-12.19
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $421.60 23 $9,696.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $422.94 23 $9,727.62 $10,036.93 +$30.82
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $425.71 23 $9,791.33
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $423.50 23 $9,740.50 $9,986.10 $-50.83
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $421.87 23 $9,703.01
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:25am ET $419.68 23 $9,652.64 $9,935.73 $-50.37
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $436.62 22 $9,605.64
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $437.31 22 $9,620.82 $9,950.91 +$15.18
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $456.93 21 $9,595.53
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $456.50 21 $9,586.50 $9,941.88 $-9.03
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $466.38 21 $9,793.98
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $464.19 21 $9,748.06 $9,895.96 $-45.92
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $484.75 20 $9,695.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $486.93 20 $9,738.60 $9,939.56 +$43.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $487.64 20 $9,752.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $489.17 20 $9,783.40 $9,970.16 +$30.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $447.02 22 $9,834.33
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $437.58 22 $9,626.65 $9,762.48 $-207.68
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $452.40 21 $9,500.32
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $452.75 21 $9,507.75 $9,769.91 +$7.43
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $443.18 22 $9,749.96
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $444.61 22 $9,781.31 $9,801.26 +$31.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $454.20 21 $9,538.20
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.35 21 $9,562.35 $9,825.41 +$24.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $465.23 21 $9,769.83
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $464.70 21 $9,758.60 $9,814.17 $-11.24
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,814.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-185.83
Total Return: -1.86%
Back to Professor Mean