Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.1

30-Day Momentum

26
+1.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,388
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,110.85
Current Value
$11,362.53
Period P&L
$251.66
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
24 / 22
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,016,419.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$251.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$251.66
Gross Return
+2.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,110.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:40am ET $315.86 35 $11,054.93
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $316.14 35 $11,064.90 $11,120.82 +$9.97
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $324.87 34 $11,045.58
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $325.23 34 $11,057.82 $11,133.06 +$12.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $328.48 33 $10,839.84
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $326.59 33 $10,777.47 $11,070.69 $-62.37
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $335.59 32 $10,738.72
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET $334.38 32 $10,700.16 $11,032.13 $-38.56
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $330.83 33 $10,917.39
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $332.39 33 $10,968.84 $11,083.58 +$51.45
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $327.94 33 $10,822.02
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $329.87 33 $10,885.80 $11,147.36 +$63.78
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $323.63 34 $11,003.25
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $322.99 34 $10,981.52 $11,125.63 $-21.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $330.90 33 $10,919.70
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $331.57 33 $10,941.81 $11,147.74 +$22.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $328.55 33 $10,842.15
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $329.87 33 $10,885.71 $11,191.30 +$43.56
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET $335.62 33 $11,075.44
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $335.30 33 $11,064.90 $11,180.77 $-10.54
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $334.40 33 $11,035.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $330.28 33 $10,899.24 $11,044.81 $-135.96
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $336.59 32 $10,770.88
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $337.90 32 $10,812.80 $11,086.73 +$41.92
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $341.50 32 $10,928.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $344.44 32 $11,022.08 $11,180.81 +$94.08
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $330.67 33 $10,912.27
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $333.15 33 $10,993.95 $11,262.49 +$81.68
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $327.01 34 $11,118.17
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $322.76 34 $10,973.84 $11,118.16 $-144.33
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $324.27 34 $11,025.18
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $323.78 34 $11,008.52 $11,101.50 $-16.66
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $318.55 34 $10,830.70
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $320.48 34 $10,896.32 $11,167.12 +$65.62
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $300.24 37 $11,108.95
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $299.73 37 $11,089.83 $11,147.99 $-19.13
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $303.25 36 $10,917.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $308.10 36 $11,091.60 $11,322.59 +$174.60
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $311.35 36 $11,208.60
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET $309.42 36 $11,139.12 $11,253.11 $-69.48
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $310.00 36 $11,160.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $308.24 36 $11,096.64 $11,189.75 $-63.36
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $303.15 36 $10,913.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET $305.35 36 $10,992.60 $11,268.95 +$79.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $301.26 37 $11,146.44
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $302.93 37 $11,208.41 $11,330.92 +$61.97
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $295.99 38 $11,247.62
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:15am ET $299.69 38 $11,388.22 $11,471.52 +$140.60
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $306.90 37 $11,355.48
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET $307.44 37 $11,375.28 $11,491.32 +$19.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET $305.61 37 $11,307.55
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $303.26 37 $11,220.62 $11,404.39 $-86.93
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $303.25 37 $11,220.10
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $304.17 37 $11,254.29 $11,438.58 +$34.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $310.13 36 $11,164.68
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $309.39 36 $11,138.04 $11,411.94 $-26.64
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $303.36 37 $11,224.21
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $301.83 37 $11,167.89 $11,355.63 $-56.31
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $298.99 37 $11,062.70
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET $295.96 37 $10,950.52 $11,243.45 $-112.18
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $287.86 39 $11,226.35
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $285.48 39 $11,133.72 $11,150.83 $-92.63
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $276.40 40 $11,056.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $279.05 40 $11,162.00 $11,256.83 +$106.00
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $273.29 41 $11,204.89
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $273.05 41 $11,195.05 $11,246.99 $-9.84
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $297.88 37 $11,021.56
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $297.45 37 $11,005.65 $11,231.08 $-15.91
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $299.32 37 $11,074.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.76 37 $11,202.12 $11,358.36 +$127.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.50 35 $11,077.50
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $313.45 35 $10,970.92 $11,251.78 $-106.58
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $317.44 35 $11,110.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $316.96 35 $11,093.77 $11,235.15 $-16.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $331.70 33 $10,945.94
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $332.20 33 $10,962.63 $11,251.85 +$16.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $339.69 33 $11,209.77
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $338.97 33 $11,186.01 $11,228.09 $-23.76
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $335.97 33 $11,087.01
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $333.20 33 $10,995.76 $11,136.84 $-91.25
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $338.92 32 $10,845.44
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $339.23 32 $10,855.36 $11,146.76 +$9.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $342.93 32 $10,973.76
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $344.87 32 $11,035.84 $11,208.84 +$62.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $347.44 32 $11,118.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $346.13 32 $11,076.16 $11,166.92 $-41.92
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
44 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $380.07 29 $11,022.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $382.63 29 $11,096.27 $11,241.16 +$74.24
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
45 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $380.73 29 $11,041.17
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $383.22 29 $11,113.38 $11,313.37 +$72.21
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
46 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $384.58 29 $11,152.82
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $386.27 29 $11,201.97 $11,362.53 +$49.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,362.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,362.53
Total Return: +13.63%
Back to Professor Mean