GS Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+2.79%
Year to Date Return
$13,751.31
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$13,378.25
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
57
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
26.3/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
57.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 56.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,535
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,378.25
Current Value
$13,751.31
Period P&L
$373.03
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
30 /
20
Best Trade
+2.70%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,332,852.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$373.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$373.03
Gross Return
+2.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,378.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $947.02 | 14 | $13,258.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $950.57 | 14 | $13,307.98 | $13,428.05 |
+$49.77 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $954.80 | 14 | $13,367.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $956.94 | 14 | $13,397.16 | $13,458.01 |
+$29.96 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $939.86 | 14 | $13,158.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $941.06 | 14 | $13,174.84 | $13,474.81 |
+$16.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.13 | 14 | $13,035.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $940.21 | 14 | $13,162.94 | $13,601.93 |
+$127.12 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $937.02 | 14 | $13,118.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $944.52 | 14 | $13,223.28 | $13,706.93 |
+$105.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $931.14 | 14 | $13,035.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $933.04 | 14 | $13,062.49 | $13,733.46 |
+$26.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $969.42 | 14 | $13,571.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $970.00 | 14 | $13,580.00 | $13,741.58 |
+$8.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $946.36 | 14 | $13,249.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $943.82 | 14 | $13,213.41 | $13,705.95 |
$-35.63 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $961.67 | 14 | $13,463.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $926.06 | 14 | $12,964.84 | $13,207.48 |
$-498.47 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $924.90 | 14 | $12,948.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $927.43 | 14 | $12,984.02 | $13,242.90 |
+$35.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $921.61 | 14 | $12,902.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $924.03 | 14 | $12,936.35 | $13,276.71 |
+$33.81 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $927.31 | 14 | $12,982.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $929.23 | 14 | $13,009.22 | $13,303.66 |
+$26.95 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $936.52 | 14 | $13,111.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $931.71 | 14 | $13,043.94 | $13,236.32 |
$-67.34 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $945.68 | 13 | $12,293.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.41 | 13 | $12,446.33 | $13,388.81 |
+$152.49 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $921.83 | 14 | $12,905.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $920.96 | 14 | $12,893.44 | $13,376.63 |
$-12.18 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $891.89 | 14 | $12,486.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $915.95 | 14 | $12,823.30 | $13,713.47 |
+$336.84 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $945.30 | 14 | $13,234.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $944.09 | 14 | $13,217.26 | $13,696.53 |
$-16.94 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $912.55 | 15 | $13,688.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $916.87 | 15 | $13,753.05 | $13,761.33 |
+$64.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $936.25 | 14 | $13,107.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $932.14 | 14 | $13,049.96 | $13,703.79 |
$-57.54 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $906.41 | 15 | $13,596.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $913.88 | 15 | $13,708.13 | $13,815.84 |
+$112.05 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $901.97 | 15 | $13,529.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $889.22 | 15 | $13,338.30 | $13,624.51 |
$-191.33 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $914.73 | 14 | $12,806.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $901.51 | 14 | $12,621.14 | $13,439.43 |
$-185.08 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $848.94 | 15 | $12,734.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $861.40 | 15 | $12,920.96 | $13,626.29 |
+$186.86 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $831.94 | 16 | $13,311.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $834.73 | 16 | $13,355.76 | $13,671.01 |
+$44.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $868.28 | 15 | $13,024.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $869.69 | 15 | $13,045.35 | $13,692.16 |
+$21.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $826.83 | 16 | $13,229.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $830.28 | 16 | $13,284.48 | $13,747.35 |
+$55.19 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $810.22 | 16 | $12,963.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $808.77 | 16 | $12,940.24 | $13,724.07 |
$-23.28 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $835.94 | 16 | $13,375.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $825.16 | 16 | $13,202.48 | $13,551.51 |
$-172.56 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $790.28 | 17 | $13,434.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $788.16 | 17 | $13,398.64 | $13,515.35 |
$-36.16 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $794.80 | 17 | $13,511.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $795.20 | 17 | $13,518.32 | $13,521.98 |
+$6.63 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $805.29 | 16 | $12,884.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $807.46 | 16 | $12,919.36 | $13,556.70 |
+$34.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $795.29 | 17 | $13,520.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $798.48 | 17 | $13,574.16 | $13,610.84 |
+$54.14 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $811.09 | 16 | $12,977.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $814.51 | 16 | $13,032.08 | $13,665.48 |
+$54.64 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $823.46 | 16 | $13,175.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $831.41 | 16 | $13,302.64 | $13,792.76 |
+$127.28 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $839.00 | 16 | $13,424.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $842.92 | 16 | $13,486.72 | $13,855.48 |
+$62.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $821.55 | 16 | $13,144.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $821.36 | 16 | $13,141.84 | $13,852.52 |
$-2.96 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $808.00 | 17 | $13,736.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $811.06 | 17 | $13,788.02 | $13,904.54 |
+$52.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $864.91 | 16 | $13,838.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $865.16 | 16 | $13,842.48 | $13,908.46 |
+$3.92 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $864.48 | 16 | $13,831.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $861.38 | 16 | $13,782.08 | $13,858.78 |
$-49.68 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $859.60 | 16 | $13,753.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $863.04 | 16 | $13,808.64 | $13,913.82 |
+$55.04 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $903.37 | 15 | $13,550.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $903.91 | 15 | $13,558.72 | $13,921.99 |
+$8.17 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $902.90 | 15 | $13,543.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $900.49 | 15 | $13,507.42 | $13,885.98 |
$-36.01 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $899.07 | 15 | $13,486.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.31 | 15 | $13,744.61 | $14,144.54 |
+$258.56 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $925.93 | 15 | $13,888.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $924.09 | 15 | $13,861.35 | $14,116.94 |
$-27.60 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $932.49 | 15 | $13,987.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $934.59 | 15 | $14,018.78 | $14,148.29 |
+$31.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $923.87 | 15 | $13,858.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $922.24 | 15 | $13,833.60 | $14,123.84 |
$-24.45 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $933.51 | 15 | $14,002.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $929.38 | 15 | $13,940.70 | $14,061.93 |
$-61.91 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $907.25 | 15 | $13,608.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $902.57 | 15 | $13,538.55 | $13,991.73 |
$-70.20 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $924.46 | 15 | $13,866.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $920.08 | 15 | $13,801.20 | $13,925.98 |
$-65.75 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $915.11 | 15 | $13,726.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $903.47 | 15 | $13,551.98 | $13,751.31 |
$-174.67 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,751.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,751.31
Total Return:
+37.51%