Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,016
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,483.07
Current Value
$10,638.39
Period P&L
$155.34
Max Drawdown
-5.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+1.02%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$357,739.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$155.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$155.34
Gross Return
+1.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,483.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $345.38 30 $10,361.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $344.54 30 $10,336.20 $10,484.86 $-25.05
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $344.98 30 $10,349.25
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.40 30 $10,362.00 $10,497.61 +$12.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $352.31 29 $10,216.85
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $351.17 29 $10,183.93 $10,464.69 $-32.91
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $359.81 29 $10,434.49
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $362.79 29 $10,520.91 $10,551.11 +$86.42
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $370.51 28 $10,374.14
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 28 $10,480.40 $10,657.37 +$106.26
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET $375.53 28 $10,514.84
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET $378.04 28 $10,585.12 $10,727.65 +$70.28
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $377.25 28 $10,563.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $378.23 28 $10,590.44 $10,755.09 +$27.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $378.95 28 $10,610.60
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $380.31 28 $10,648.68 $10,793.17 +$38.08
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $379.81 28 $10,634.68
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $380.91 28 $10,665.34 $10,823.83 +$30.66
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $383.02 28 $10,724.42
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $384.07 28 $10,753.96 $10,853.37 +$29.54
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $383.79 28 $10,746.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $382.83 28 $10,719.24 $10,826.49 $-26.88
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET $377.83 28 $10,579.10
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $374.47 28 $10,485.16 $10,732.55 $-93.94
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $371.10 28 $10,390.66
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.08 28 $10,418.10 $10,759.99 +$27.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $380.24 28 $10,646.72
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $381.43 28 $10,680.04 $10,793.31 +$33.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $385.47 28 $10,793.16
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $383.50 28 $10,738.00 $10,738.15 $-55.16
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $383.73 27 $10,360.84
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $384.75 27 $10,388.25 $10,765.56 +$27.41
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $389.08 27 $10,505.16
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $384.37 27 $10,377.99 $10,638.39 $-127.17
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,638.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$638.39
Total Return: +6.38%
Back to Professor Mean