Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,515
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,867.62
Current Value
$10,412.08
Period P&L
$-455.50
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+0.87%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
4.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$359,505.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-455.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-455.50
Gross Return
-4.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,867.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $289.68 37 $10,717.98
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $290.20 37 $10,737.22 $10,886.84 +$19.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $295.28 36 $10,630.08
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $296.14 36 $10,661.04 $10,917.80 +$30.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $300.93 36 $10,833.55
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET $300.75 36 $10,827.00 $10,911.24 $-6.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $301.41 36 $10,850.76
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $301.71 36 $10,861.56 $10,922.04 +$10.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $302.39 36 $10,886.04
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $302.04 36 $10,873.26 $10,909.26 $-12.78
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $310.50 35 $10,867.50
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $308.93 35 $10,812.55 $10,854.31 $-54.95
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:50am ET $305.71 35 $10,699.85
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $303.14 35 $10,609.73 $10,764.19 $-90.12
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 36 $10,713.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET $295.30 36 $10,630.80 $10,681.39 $-82.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $294.94 36 $10,617.66
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $295.70 36 $10,645.20 $10,708.93 +$27.54
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $296.42 36 $10,671.12
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $293.05 36 $10,549.62 $10,587.43 $-121.50
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $295.54 35 $10,343.90
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $296.38 35 $10,373.30 $10,616.83 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET $292.43 36 $10,527.48
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:25am ET $293.66 36 $10,571.76 $10,661.11 +$44.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $309.75 34 $10,531.33
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $305.82 34 $10,397.71 $10,527.49 $-133.62
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $314.20 33 $10,368.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $307.51 33 $10,147.83 $10,306.72 $-220.77
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $283.43 36 $10,203.48
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $285.89 36 $10,292.22 $10,395.46 +$88.74
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $292.77 35 $10,246.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET $294.32 35 $10,301.03 $10,449.53 +$54.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $293.44 35 $10,270.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $292.37 35 $10,232.95 $10,412.08 $-37.45
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,412.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$412.08
Total Return: +4.12%
Back to Professor Mean