Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,093
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,385.48
Current Value
$9,276.96
Period P&L
$-108.49
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+2.28%
Worst Trade
-1.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
13h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,189.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-108.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-108.49
Gross Return
-1.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,385.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $246.78 38 $9,377.45
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $246.67 38 $9,373.46 $9,391.16 $-3.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $252.81 37 $9,353.97
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $252.01 37 $9,324.37 $9,361.56 $-29.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $254.70 36 $9,169.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $254.91 36 $9,176.76 $9,369.12 +$7.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $260.50 35 $9,117.33
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $260.36 35 $9,112.60 $9,364.40 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $261.59 35 $9,155.65
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $262.13 35 $9,174.38 $9,383.12 +$18.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $266.14 35 $9,314.73
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $266.46 35 $9,326.10 $9,394.50 +$11.37
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $266.31 35 $9,320.85
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.23 35 $9,178.05 $9,251.70 $-142.80
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $265.21 34 $9,017.14
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $264.21 34 $8,983.14 $9,217.70 $-34.00
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $270.35 34 $9,191.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $268.05 34 $9,113.70 $9,139.50 $-78.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $263.89 34 $8,972.26
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $263.99 34 $8,975.49 $9,142.73 +$3.23
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $263.83 34 $8,970.05
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $263.53 34 $8,960.02 $9,132.70 $-10.03
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET $261.32 34 $8,884.88
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $260.40 34 $8,853.60 $9,101.42 $-31.28
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $262.53 34 $8,926.02
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $263.62 34 $8,963.08 $9,138.48 +$37.06
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $260.53 35 $9,118.55
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $258.09 35 $9,033.15 $9,053.08 $-85.40
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $255.46 35 $8,940.93
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $261.29 35 $9,145.15 $9,257.30 +$204.23
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $263.69 35 $9,229.15
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $264.82 35 $9,268.70 $9,296.85 +$39.55
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $267.47 34 $9,093.98
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $266.89 34 $9,074.09 $9,276.96 $-19.89
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,276.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-723.04
Total Return: -7.23%
Back to Professor Mean