Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,863
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
34 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,261.95
Current Value
$11,432.30
Period P&L
$170.39
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
12 / 3
Best Trade
+0.31%
Worst Trade
-0.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,923.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$170.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$170.39
Gross Return
+1.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 34 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,261.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $206.20 54 $11,134.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $206.42 54 $11,146.68 $11,273.79 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:45am ET $205.35 54 $11,088.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,288.37 +$14.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $206.35 54 $11,142.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $206.72 54 $11,162.88 $11,308.35 +$19.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $205.26 55 $11,289.31
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $204.81 55 $11,264.55 $11,283.59 $-24.76
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.97 52 $11,282.44
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $217.24 52 $11,296.22 $11,297.37 +$13.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $218.85 51 $11,161.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET $219.49 51 $11,193.99 $11,330.27 +$32.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $217.20 52 $11,294.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $217.87 52 $11,328.98 $11,364.85 +$34.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $219.06 51 $11,171.81
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $219.39 51 $11,188.89 $11,381.93 +$17.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $224.37 50 $11,218.50
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 $11,402.93 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $227.30 50 $11,365.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $227.66 50 $11,383.00 $11,420.93 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $227.09 50 $11,354.25
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $227.56 50 $11,378.00 $11,444.68 +$23.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.40 49 $11,436.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $234.10 49 $11,470.90 $11,478.98 +$34.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $237.32 48 $11,391.36
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $237.88 48 $11,418.00 $11,505.62 +$26.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.01 47 $11,280.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $238.95 47 $11,230.65 $11,455.80 $-49.82
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $239.67 47 $11,264.49
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $239.17 47 $11,240.99 $11,432.30 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,432.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,432.30
Total Return: +14.32%
Back to Professor Mean