KO Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+7.54%
Year to Date Return
$10,992.74
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$10,221.91
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
31.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 30.9
30-Day Momentum
24
+0.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,105
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,221.91
Current Value
$10,992.74
Period P&L
$770.89
Max Drawdown
-6.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
38 /
12
Best Trade
+0.96%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,059,512.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$770.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$770.89
Gross Return
+7.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,221.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $69.18 | 147 | $10,168.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.24 | 147 | $10,177.55 | $10,230.67 |
+$8.82 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $67.96 | 150 | $10,194.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $68.11 | 150 | $10,216.50 | $10,253.17 |
+$22.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $67.52 | 151 | $10,195.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $67.60 | 151 | $10,208.28 | $10,265.93 |
+$12.76 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $69.23 | 148 | $10,245.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $69.35 | 148 | $10,263.06 | $10,283.69 |
+$17.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $70.46 | 145 | $10,215.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $70.50 | 145 | $10,221.78 | $10,289.49 |
+$5.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $71.34 | 144 | $10,272.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $71.17 | 144 | $10,247.76 | $10,264.29 |
$-25.20 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $70.38 | 145 | $10,205.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.60 | 145 | $10,236.99 | $10,296.18 |
+$31.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.20 | 146 | $10,249.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $70.40 | 146 | $10,277.67 | $10,324.65 |
+$28.47 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $71.49 | 144 | $10,293.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.86 | 144 | $10,347.12 | $10,377.93 |
+$53.28 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $73.00 | 142 | $10,365.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $72.83 | 142 | $10,341.86 | $10,354.50 |
$-23.43 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $73.19 | 141 | $10,319.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $73.30 | 141 | $10,334.60 | $10,370.01 |
+$15.51 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $73.53 | 141 | $10,367.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $73.75 | 141 | $10,398.05 | $10,401.03 |
+$31.02 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $76.96 | 135 | $10,388.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.89 | 135 | $10,379.48 | $10,391.58 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $77.41 | 134 | $10,372.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.08 | 134 | $10,462.72 | $10,481.36 |
+$89.78 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $78.43 | 133 | $10,431.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $78.57 | 133 | $10,449.15 | $10,498.65 |
+$17.29 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.68 | 136 | $10,428.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $76.51 | 136 | $10,405.36 | $10,475.88 |
$-22.77 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $78.71 | 133 | $10,467.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.69 | 133 | $10,465.77 | $10,473.89 |
$-1.99 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $78.95 | 132 | $10,421.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $79.11 | 132 | $10,442.20 | $10,494.67 |
+$20.78 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $79.89 | 131 | $10,465.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $80.60 | 131 | $10,558.98 | $10,588.06 |
+$93.39 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.61 | 132 | $10,509.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $80.28 | 132 | $10,597.30 | $10,676.18 |
+$88.12 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $80.43 | 132 | $10,616.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $80.59 | 132 | $10,637.23 | $10,696.65 |
+$20.47 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $81.10 | 131 | $10,624.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $80.57 | 131 | $10,554.67 | $10,626.67 |
$-69.98 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.14 | 134 | $10,604.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $78.07 | 134 | $10,461.38 | $10,483.29 |
$-143.38 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $77.10 | 135 | $10,407.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $77.31 | 135 | $10,436.85 | $10,512.31 |
+$29.02 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.61 | 137 | $10,496.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $77.03 | 137 | $10,553.11 | $10,569.17 |
+$56.86 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $78.06 | 135 | $10,538.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.41 | 135 | $10,450.35 | $10,481.42 |
$-87.75 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.18 | 135 | $10,419.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.45 | 135 | $10,455.75 | $10,517.19 |
+$35.77 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $77.27 | 136 | $10,508.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.01 | 136 | $10,609.36 | $10,617.83 |
+$100.64 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.68 | 136 | $10,564.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $77.92 | 136 | $10,597.12 | $10,650.47 |
+$32.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $76.28 | 139 | $10,602.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $76.48 | 139 | $10,630.73 | $10,678.98 |
+$28.51 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $75.57 | 141 | $10,655.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $75.85 | 141 | $10,694.85 | $10,718.46 |
+$39.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $74.68 | 143 | $10,678.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $74.80 | 143 | $10,695.83 | $10,735.75 |
+$17.29 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $75.06 | 143 | $10,733.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $75.27 | 143 | $10,763.61 | $10,765.78 |
+$30.03 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.18 | 143 | $10,750.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $75.36 | 143 | $10,777.19 | $10,792.23 |
+$26.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $75.47 | 143 | $10,792.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.07 | 143 | $10,878.01 | $10,878.03 |
+$85.80 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $75.45 | 144 | $10,864.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $75.83 | 144 | $10,920.24 | $10,933.47 |
+$55.44 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $76.57 | 142 | $10,872.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $76.70 | 142 | $10,891.40 | $10,951.93 |
+$18.46 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $77.04 | 142 | $10,938.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $77.11 | 142 | $10,950.33 | $10,963.29 |
+$11.36 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.64 | 144 | $10,892.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.93 | 144 | $10,933.92 | $11,005.05 |
+$41.76 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.95 | 141 | $10,990.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $78.04 | 141 | $11,003.64 | $11,017.74 |
+$12.69 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $76.04 | 144 | $10,949.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $76.01 | 144 | $10,945.44 | $11,013.42 |
$-4.32 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $76.19 | 144 | $10,972.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.47 | 144 | $10,868.40 | $10,909.74 |
$-103.68 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.99 | 145 | $10,873.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $75.35 | 145 | $10,925.03 | $10,961.22 |
+$51.48 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $75.81 | 144 | $10,916.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $75.90 | 144 | $10,929.60 | $10,974.18 |
+$12.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.90 | 146 | $10,935.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $74.82 | 146 | $10,923.72 | $10,962.51 |
$-11.67 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $76.43 | 143 | $10,929.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.55 | 143 | $10,946.65 | $10,979.67 |
+$17.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.28 | 143 | $10,908.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.53 | 143 | $10,943.08 | $11,014.71 |
+$35.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $79.79 | 138 | $11,011.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.72 | 138 | $10,863.36 | $10,867.05 |
$-147.66 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $78.67 | 138 | $10,856.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $78.82 | 138 | $10,877.85 | $10,888.44 |
+$21.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.76 | 140 | $10,886.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $78.50 | 140 | $10,990.70 | $10,992.74 |
+$104.30 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,992.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$992.74
Total Return:
+9.93%