Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,476
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,586.98
Current Value
$8,528.20
Period P&L
$-58.76
Max Drawdown
-24.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+1.16%
Worst Trade
-2.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,268.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-58.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-58.76
Gross Return
-0.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,586.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $1,068.09 8 $8,544.68
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.83 8 $8,470.66 $8,512.94 $-74.02
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,097.61 7 $7,683.27
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,101.65 7 $7,711.55 $8,541.22 +$28.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET $1,078.84 7 $7,551.88
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,081.16 7 $7,568.12 $8,557.46 +$16.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $1,071.58 7 $7,501.06
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $1,079.06 7 $7,553.42 $8,609.82 +$52.36
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,067.03 8 $8,536.24
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,066.67 8 $8,533.34 $8,606.92 $-2.90
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,029.82 8 $8,238.56
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,032.51 8 $8,260.08 $8,628.44 +$21.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,027.33 8 $8,218.64
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $1,039.23 8 $8,313.82 $8,723.62 +$95.18
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,069.10 8 $8,552.80
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,075.30 8 $8,602.40 $8,773.22 +$49.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,087.33 8 $8,698.64
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,066.58 8 $8,532.64 $8,607.22 $-166.00
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 8 $8,448.40
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:55am ET $1,062.84 8 $8,502.72 $8,661.54 +$54.32
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,048.08 8 $8,384.64
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,019.00 8 $8,152.00 $8,428.90 $-232.64
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,024.40 8 $8,195.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,027.73 8 $8,221.88 $8,455.58 +$26.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,035.26 8 $8,282.05
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,043.67 8 $8,349.36 $8,522.89 +$67.31
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,038.74 8 $8,309.92
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $1,043.84 8 $8,350.72 $8,563.69 +$40.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,090.93 7 $7,636.51
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,098.43 7 $7,689.01 $8,616.19 +$52.50
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,026.38 8 $8,211.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,019.78 8 $8,158.24 $8,563.43 $-52.76
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,052.00 8 $8,416.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,052.60 8 $8,420.80 $8,568.23 +$4.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,031.76 8 $8,254.11
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $1,026.76 8 $8,214.08 $8,528.20 $-40.03
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,528.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,471.80
Total Return: -14.72%
Back to Professor Mean