Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 01:30:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

86
+16.1%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+58 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,945
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,707.17
Current Value
$13,193.51
Period P&L
$2,486.38
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
49 / 20
Best Trade
+6.17%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,583,113.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,486.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,486.38
Gross Return
+23.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,707.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:05pm ET $9.04 1,193 $10,778.76
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.07 1,193 $10,814.55 $10,820.46 +$35.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $10.32 1,048 $10,815.36
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $10.37 1,048 $10,862.52 $10,867.62 +$47.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $10.01 1,086 $10,865.43
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $10.12 1,086 $10,984.89 $10,987.08 +$119.46
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.97 1,102 $10,981.43
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $10.10 1,102 $11,130.20 $11,135.85 +$148.77
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $10.21 1,090 $11,133.91
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $10.31 1,090 $11,232.45 $11,234.38 +$98.54
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $10.56 1,063 $11,225.17
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $10.67 1,063 $11,336.90 $11,346.10 +$111.72
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.98 1,033 $11,337.18
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $11.11 1,033 $11,471.47 $11,480.39 +$134.29
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $10.98 1,045 $11,474.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $10.92 1,045 $11,406.18 $11,412.47 $-67.93
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $10.54 1,082 $11,404.28
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $10.72 1,082 $11,593.63 $11,601.82 +$189.35
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $10.58 1,096 $11,595.68
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $10.47 1,096 $11,475.12 $11,481.26 $-120.56
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.28 1,116 $11,472.26
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $10.39 1,116 $11,595.24 $11,604.24 +$122.98
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $10.58 1,096 $11,595.79
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $10.22 1,096 $11,201.23 $11,209.68 $-394.56
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.32 1,086 $11,207.63
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $10.42 1,086 $11,316.12 $11,318.17 +$108.49
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.70 1,167 $11,314.07
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.78 1,167 $11,413.26 $11,417.37 +$99.19
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.16 1,246 $11,412.49
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $9.35 1,246 $11,656.33 $11,661.21 +$243.84
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.14 1,275 $11,653.12
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $8.71 1,275 $11,105.38 $11,113.47 $-547.74
(-4.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 1,427 $11,109.19
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $7.55 1,427 $10,780.98 $10,785.26 $-328.21
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,378 $10,782.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 1,378 $11,430.51 $11,432.92 +$647.66
(+6.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $7.95 1,439 $11,432.86
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $7.86 1,439 $11,303.35 $11,303.41 $-129.51
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $7.39 1,529 $11,299.31
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $7.53 1,529 $11,521.01 $11,525.11 +$221.70
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $7.68 1,501 $11,520.18
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $7.55 1,501 $11,325.05 $11,329.98 $-195.13
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $7.42 1,526 $11,322.92
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET $7.53 1,526 $11,483.15 $11,490.21 +$160.23
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $7.84 1,466 $11,486.11
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $7.91 1,466 $11,596.21 $11,600.31 +$110.10
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $7.61 1,525 $11,597.63
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET $7.90 1,525 $12,047.50 $12,050.19 +$449.88
(+3.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $8.60 1,401 $12,041.60
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:45am ET $8.60 1,401 $12,048.60 $12,057.20 +$7.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET $9.30 1,296 $12,052.67
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.37 1,296 $12,142.74 $12,147.27 +$90.07
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $9.48 1,280 $12,140.80
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $9.62 1,280 $12,313.60 $12,320.07 +$172.80
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $9.05 1,361 $12,317.05
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:40am ET $8.78 1,361 $11,949.58 $11,952.60 $-367.47
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $7.99 1,496 $11,945.56
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $8.08 1,496 $12,087.68 $12,094.72 +$142.12
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $8.55 1,414 $12,089.70
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $8.69 1,414 $12,280.59 $12,285.61 +$190.89
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $8.35 1,471 $12,282.85
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $8.45 1,471 $12,437.30 $12,440.06 +$154.45
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $9.16 1,358 $12,439.28
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET $9.26 1,358 $12,575.22 $12,576.00 +$135.94
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.02 1,394 $12,573.88
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,394 $12,044.16 $12,046.28 $-529.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $8.56 1,407 $12,043.64
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $8.55 1,407 $12,029.85 $12,032.49 $-13.79
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $8.84 1,361 $12,024.44
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $8.45 1,361 $11,507.25 $11,515.31 $-517.18
(-4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $8.07 1,426 $11,509.82
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $8.16 1,426 $11,636.16 $11,641.65 +$126.34
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $8.34 1,395 $11,634.30
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $7.91 1,395 $11,034.59 $11,041.94 $-599.71
(-5.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $7.74 1,425 $11,036.62
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $7.77 1,425 $11,075.81 $11,081.13 +$39.19
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $8.10 1,368 $11,078.89
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET $8.23 1,368 $11,258.64 $11,260.88 +$179.75
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $8.90 1,264 $11,255.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $8.90 1,264 $11,243.28 $11,248.24 $-12.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,192 $11,240.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $9.47 1,192 $11,288.36 $11,296.04 +$47.80
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $9.59 1,178 $11,291.13
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $9.77 1,178 $11,503.17 $11,508.08 +$212.04
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 980 $11,500.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $11.73 980 $11,490.50 $11,497.99 $-10.09
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 1,003 $11,489.36
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $11.55 1,003 $11,584.65 $11,593.28 +$95.29
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $11.82 980 $11,584.38
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $11.85 980 $11,617.90 $11,626.80 +$33.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $11.60 1,001 $11,616.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $11.53 1,001 $11,546.53 $11,556.73 $-70.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.17 1,034 $11,549.78
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 1,034 $11,136.18 $11,143.13 $-413.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,038 $11,132.55
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $10.36 1,038 $10,758.87 $10,769.45 $-373.68
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 907 $10,766.18
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $11.99 907 $10,879.46 $10,882.73 +$113.28
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
50 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $11.56 941 $10,873.26
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $11.60 941 $10,910.90 $10,920.37 +$37.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
51 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.79 926 $10,914.95
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $11.90 926 $11,022.64 $11,028.06 +$107.69
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
52 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $12.73 866 $11,024.18
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:15am ET $12.95 866 $11,219.03 $11,222.91 +$194.85
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
53 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $13.50 831 $11,218.50
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $12.83 831 $10,661.73 $10,666.14 $-556.77
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
54 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:55am ET $12.61 845 $10,659.67
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $12.69 845 $10,727.27 $10,733.74 +$67.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
55 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $13.27 808 $10,722.24
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $13.44 808 $10,862.51 $10,874.01 +$140.27
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
56 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $12.41 875 $10,863.12
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $12.02 875 $10,513.13 $10,524.01 $-350.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
57 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $13.14 801 $10,521.14
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $13.36 801 $10,705.36 $10,708.24 +$184.23
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
58 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $13.78 777 $10,705.97
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $14.26 777 $11,080.02 $11,082.29 +$374.05
(+3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
59 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $14.05 788 $11,071.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $14.25 788 $11,229.00 $11,239.89 +$157.60
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
60 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $13.86 810 $11,228.22
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $14.11 810 $11,433.15 $11,444.82 +$204.93
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $14.57 785 $11,439.02
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $14.90 785 $11,700.42 $11,706.23 +$261.41
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $13.96 838 $11,698.31
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $14.03 838 $11,761.33 $11,769.25 +$63.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $13.08 899 $11,758.74
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $12.98 899 $11,664.53 $11,675.04 $-94.21
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $13.03 896 $11,674.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $13.05 896 $11,692.80 $11,692.96 +$17.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $12.74 917 $11,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $13.11 917 $12,021.87 $12,027.66 +$334.70
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $14.83 811 $12,027.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $14.91 811 $12,096.06 $12,096.60 +$68.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $14.34 843 $12,088.45
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:55am ET $14.60 843 $12,303.59 $12,311.73 +$215.13
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $13.87 887 $12,302.69
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $14.00 887 $12,418.00 $12,427.04 +$115.31
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.10 881 $12,417.70
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $14.97 881 $13,184.17 $13,193.51 +$766.47
(+6.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,193.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,193.51
Total Return: +31.94%
Back to Professor Mean