Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,081
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,707.17
Current Value
$11,525.11
Period P&L
$817.98
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
14 / 6
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,522.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$817.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$817.98
Gross Return
+7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,707.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:05pm ET $9.04 1,193 $10,778.76
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.07 1,193 $10,814.55 $10,820.46 +$35.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $10.32 1,048 $10,815.36
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $10.37 1,048 $10,862.52 $10,867.62 +$47.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $10.01 1,086 $10,865.43
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $10.12 1,086 $10,984.89 $10,987.08 +$119.46
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.97 1,102 $10,981.43
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $10.10 1,102 $11,130.20 $11,135.85 +$148.77
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $10.21 1,090 $11,133.91
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $10.31 1,090 $11,232.45 $11,234.38 +$98.54
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $10.56 1,063 $11,225.17
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $10.67 1,063 $11,336.90 $11,346.10 +$111.72
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $10.98 1,033 $11,337.18
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $11.11 1,033 $11,471.47 $11,480.39 +$134.29
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $10.98 1,045 $11,474.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $10.92 1,045 $11,406.18 $11,412.47 $-67.93
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $10.54 1,082 $11,404.28
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $10.72 1,082 $11,593.63 $11,601.82 +$189.35
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $10.58 1,096 $11,595.68
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $10.47 1,096 $11,475.12 $11,481.26 $-120.56
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.28 1,116 $11,472.26
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $10.39 1,116 $11,595.24 $11,604.24 +$122.98
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $10.58 1,096 $11,595.79
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $10.22 1,096 $11,201.23 $11,209.68 $-394.56
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.32 1,086 $11,207.63
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $10.42 1,086 $11,316.12 $11,318.17 +$108.49
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.70 1,167 $11,314.07
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $9.78 1,167 $11,413.26 $11,417.37 +$99.19
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $9.16 1,246 $11,412.49
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $9.35 1,246 $11,656.33 $11,661.21 +$243.84
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.14 1,275 $11,653.12
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $8.71 1,275 $11,105.38 $11,113.47 $-547.74
(-4.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 1,427 $11,109.19
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $7.55 1,427 $10,780.98 $10,785.26 $-328.21
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,378 $10,782.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 1,378 $11,430.51 $11,432.92 +$647.66
(+6.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $7.95 1,439 $11,432.86
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $7.86 1,439 $11,303.35 $11,303.41 $-129.51
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $7.39 1,529 $11,299.31
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $7.53 1,529 $11,521.01 $11,525.11 +$221.70
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,525.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,525.11
Total Return: +15.25%
Back to Professor Mean