Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,651
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,119.50
Current Value
$8,993.07
Period P&L
$-126.47
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$302,758.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-126.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-126.47
Gross Return
-1.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,119.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:50pm ET $96.38 94 $9,059.91
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $95.30 94 $8,958.21 $9,004.88 $-101.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $95.49 94 $8,976.06
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $95.86 94 $9,010.84 $9,039.66 +$34.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET $99.96 90 $8,996.40
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:05pm ET $99.93 90 $8,993.70 $9,036.96 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $99.58 90 $8,961.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $99.25 90 $8,932.50 $9,007.71 $-29.25
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $97.05 92 $8,928.60
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $96.93 92 $8,917.56 $8,996.67 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $96.45 93 $8,969.85
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $96.43 93 $8,967.99 $8,994.81 $-1.86
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $97.65 92 $8,983.80
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $98.31 92 $9,044.52 $9,055.53 +$60.72
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $97.60 92 $8,979.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $95.98 92 $8,829.70 $8,906.03 $-149.50
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $99.63 89 $8,867.07
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $99.44 89 $8,850.16 $8,889.12 $-16.91
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $101.62 87 $8,840.94
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $101.24 87 $8,807.88 $8,856.06 $-33.06
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $101.55 87 $8,834.85
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $101.11 87 $8,796.14 $8,817.35 $-38.71
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $100.91 87 $8,778.74
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $100.81 87 $8,770.47 $8,809.08 $-8.26
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $102.25 86 $8,793.10
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $102.45 86 $8,810.70 $8,826.68 +$17.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $103.34 85 $8,783.90
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $104.91 85 $8,917.35 $8,960.13 +$133.45
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $103.86 86 $8,931.96
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.98 86 $8,942.28 $8,970.45 +$10.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $101.96 87 $8,870.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $101.99 87 $8,873.13 $8,973.06 +$2.61
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $102.06 87 $8,879.22
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $102.29 87 $8,899.23 $8,993.07 +$20.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,993.07
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,006.93
Total Return: -10.07%
Back to Professor Mean