META Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
-6.00%
Year to Date Return
$11,607.68
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$12,348.10
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
34.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 34.3
30-Day Momentum
17
-0.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,477
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,348.10
Current Value
$11,607.68
Period P&L
$-740.44
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
32 /
17
Best Trade
+1.04%
Worst Trade
-5.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,160,489.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-740.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-740.44
Gross Return
-6.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.00%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,348.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $657.56 | 18 | $11,836.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $655.94 | 18 | $11,807.01 | $12,319.04 |
$-29.07 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $660.09 | 18 | $11,881.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $661.43 | 18 | $11,905.74 | $12,343.16 |
+$24.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $659.02 | 18 | $11,862.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $660.46 | 18 | $11,888.28 | $12,369.08 |
+$25.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $638.60 | 19 | $12,133.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $643.91 | 19 | $12,234.29 | $12,469.97 |
+$100.89 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $649.28 | 19 | $12,336.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $648.63 | 19 | $12,324.00 | $12,457.65 |
$-12.32 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $627.07 | 19 | $11,914.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $628.28 | 19 | $11,937.23 | $12,480.56 |
+$22.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $615.35 | 20 | $12,307.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $618.22 | 20 | $12,364.40 | $12,537.96 |
+$57.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $623.35 | 20 | $12,467.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $605.91 | 20 | $12,118.10 | $12,189.06 |
$-348.90 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $602.35 | 20 | $12,047.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $603.98 | 20 | $12,079.60 | $12,221.66 |
+$32.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $662.30 | 18 | $11,921.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $667.40 | 18 | $12,013.24 | $12,313.50 |
+$91.84 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $668.21 | 18 | $12,027.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $671.10 | 18 | $12,079.71 | $12,365.43 |
+$51.93 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $670.62 | 18 | $12,071.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $670.99 | 18 | $12,077.82 | $12,372.09 |
+$6.66 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $724.20 | 17 | $12,311.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $719.09 | 17 | $12,224.53 | $12,285.22 |
$-86.87 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $707.64 | 17 | $12,029.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $713.94 | 17 | $12,136.98 | $12,392.32 |
+$107.10 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $680.64 | 18 | $12,251.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $675.93 | 18 | $12,166.83 | $12,307.62 |
$-84.69 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:50pm ET | $674.66 | 18 | $12,143.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $679.59 | 18 | $12,232.62 | $12,396.28 |
+$88.65 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $658.66 | 18 | $11,855.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $655.28 | 18 | $11,795.04 | $12,335.35 |
$-60.93 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $676.86 | 18 | $12,183.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $677.37 | 18 | $12,192.66 | $12,344.53 |
+$9.18 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $668.23 | 18 | $12,028.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $673.08 | 18 | $12,115.35 | $12,431.77 |
+$87.24 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $635.31 | 19 | $12,070.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $634.62 | 19 | $12,057.78 | $12,418.66 |
$-13.11 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $642.79 | 19 | $12,213.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $643.69 | 19 | $12,230.11 | $12,435.76 |
+$17.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $652.33 | 19 | $12,394.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $643.34 | 19 | $12,223.55 | $12,265.14 |
$-170.62 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $642.96 | 19 | $12,216.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $645.73 | 19 | $12,268.87 | $12,317.77 |
+$52.63 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $652.75 | 18 | $11,749.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $654.10 | 18 | $11,773.80 | $12,342.07 |
+$24.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $666.73 | 18 | $12,001.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $668.89 | 18 | $12,040.02 | $12,380.86 |
+$38.79 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $647.48 | 19 | $12,302.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $647.50 | 19 | $12,302.50 | $12,381.24 |
+$0.38 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $635.35 | 19 | $12,071.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $635.37 | 19 | $12,072.03 | $12,381.62 |
+$0.38 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $652.85 | 18 | $11,751.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $655.50 | 18 | $11,799.00 | $12,429.32 |
+$47.70 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $648.35 | 19 | $12,318.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $641.20 | 19 | $12,182.80 | $12,293.47 |
$-135.85 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $614.74 | 19 | $11,680.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $613.35 | 19 | $11,653.67 | $12,267.08 |
$-26.39 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $623.94 | 19 | $11,854.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $625.41 | 19 | $11,882.79 | $12,295.09 |
+$28.01 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $615.11 | 19 | $11,687.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $611.96 | 19 | $11,627.15 | $12,235.15 |
$-59.94 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $599.99 | 20 | $11,999.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $594.62 | 20 | $11,892.40 | $12,127.79 |
$-107.36 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $602.77 | 20 | $12,055.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $603.45 | 20 | $12,069.00 | $12,141.39 |
+$13.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $592.67 | 20 | $11,853.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $598.82 | 20 | $11,976.40 | $12,264.29 |
+$122.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $581.09 | 21 | $12,202.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $548.69 | 21 | $11,522.49 | $11,583.89 |
$-680.40 (-5.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $535.41 | 21 | $11,243.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $536.85 | 21 | $11,273.95 | $11,614.29 |
+$30.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $580.23 | 20 | $11,604.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $580.44 | 20 | $11,608.80 | $11,618.49 |
+$4.20 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $575.16 | 20 | $11,503.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $567.18 | 20 | $11,343.60 | $11,458.79 |
$-159.70 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $629.10 | 18 | $11,323.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $629.22 | 18 | $11,325.87 | $11,460.86 |
+$2.07 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $671.12 | 17 | $11,409.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $673.39 | 17 | $11,447.63 | $11,499.45 |
+$38.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $680.48 | 16 | $10,887.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $673.73 | 16 | $10,779.68 | $11,391.37 |
$-108.08 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $668.75 | 17 | $11,368.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $670.81 | 17 | $11,403.77 | $11,426.39 |
+$35.02 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $662.82 | 17 | $11,267.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $662.62 | 17 | $11,264.54 | $11,423.07 |
$-3.32 (-0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $656.53 | 17 | $11,160.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $660.54 | 17 | $11,229.18 | $11,491.32 |
+$68.25 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $672.01 | 17 | $11,424.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $675.79 | 17 | $11,488.43 | $11,555.66 |
+$64.34 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $668.94 | 17 | $11,371.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $669.84 | 17 | $11,387.28 | $11,570.96 |
+$15.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $612.83 | 18 | $11,030.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $611.73 | 18 | $11,011.14 | $11,551.16 |
$-19.80 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $610.34 | 18 | $10,986.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.48 | 18 | $11,042.64 | $11,607.68 |
+$56.52 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,607.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,607.68
Total Return:
+16.08%