Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
35 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,538.49
Current Value
$11,846.33
Period P&L
$307.84
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-1.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$416,565.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$307.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$307.84
Gross Return
+2.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 35 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,538.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $106.61 108 $11,513.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $106.96 108 $11,551.68 $11,576.28 +$37.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $108.58 106 $11,509.48
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $108.98 106 $11,551.88 $11,618.68 +$42.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $110.19 105 $11,569.43
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $109.82 105 $11,531.10 $11,580.35 $-38.33
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $109.72 105 $11,520.08
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $110.48 105 $11,600.40 $11,660.68 +$80.33
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $107.86 108 $11,648.88
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $108.01 108 $11,665.08 $11,676.88 +$16.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $109.68 106 $11,626.08
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $109.11 106 $11,565.13 $11,615.93 $-60.95
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $109.23 106 $11,578.37
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $109.17 106 $11,572.02 $11,609.58 $-6.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $108.41 107 $11,599.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.68 107 $11,628.76 $11,639.00 +$29.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $110.28 105 $11,579.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $109.12 105 $11,457.60 $11,517.20 $-121.80
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $107.87 106 $11,434.22
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $107.33 106 $11,376.72 $11,459.70 $-57.51
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $107.34 106 $11,378.04
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.63 106 $11,408.78 $11,490.44 +$30.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $106.51 107 $11,396.57
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $106.55 107 $11,400.85 $11,494.72 +$4.28
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $109.16 105 $11,461.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $109.43 105 $11,490.15 $11,523.07 +$28.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $112.40 102 $11,464.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $112.57 102 $11,482.65 $11,540.92 +$17.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $115.69 99 $11,453.31
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 99 $11,763.67 $11,851.28 +$310.36
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $121.16 97 $11,752.52
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $121.58 97 $11,793.74 $11,892.51 +$41.22
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.69 99 $11,849.31
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $119.04 99 $11,785.45 $11,828.65 $-63.86
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET $116.76 101 $11,793.26
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $116.94 101 $11,810.94 $11,846.33 +$17.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,846.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,846.33
Total Return: +18.46%
Back to Professor Mean