MU Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
+21.07%
Year to Date Return
$12,591.42
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,400.31
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.8
30-Day Momentum
67
+7.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
12
Trades
7.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.0
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,510
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,400.31
Current Value
$12,591.42
Period P&L
$2,191.08
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
35 /
14
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,112,144.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,191.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,191.08
Gross Return
+21.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.07%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,400.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $311.63 | 33 | $10,283.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $312.30 | 33 | $10,305.90 | $10,422.62 |
+$22.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $338.84 | 30 | $10,165.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $340.01 | 30 | $10,200.15 | $10,457.58 |
+$34.95 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $324.44 | 32 | $10,382.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $327.52 | 32 | $10,480.68 | $10,556.18 |
+$98.60 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.43 | 30 | $10,272.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $348.01 | 30 | $10,440.30 | $10,723.58 |
+$167.40 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $343.80 | 31 | $10,657.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $342.19 | 31 | $10,607.89 | $10,673.66 |
$-49.91 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $331.81 | 32 | $10,617.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $335.20 | 32 | $10,726.40 | $10,782.30 |
+$108.64 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $341.07 | 31 | $10,573.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 31 | $11,153.82 | $11,362.95 |
+$580.65 (+5.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $361.60 | 31 | $11,209.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $365.66 | 31 | $11,335.46 | $11,488.96 |
+$126.02 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.14 | 30 | $11,464.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $386.62 | 30 | $11,598.60 | $11,623.51 |
+$134.55 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $400.64 | 29 | $11,618.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $399.28 | 29 | $11,579.12 | $11,584.07 |
$-39.44 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $390.25 | 29 | $11,317.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.17 | 29 | $11,662.93 | $11,929.89 |
+$345.82 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $429.57 | 27 | $11,598.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $428.16 | 27 | $11,560.30 | $11,891.81 |
$-38.09 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $427.10 | 27 | $11,531.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $428.63 | 27 | $11,573.01 | $11,933.23 |
+$41.43 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $437.58 | 27 | $11,814.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $438.49 | 27 | $11,839.23 | $11,957.71 |
+$24.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.66 | 29 | $11,706.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $368.46 | 29 | $10,685.34 | $10,936.93 |
$-1,020.79 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $377.46 | 28 | $10,568.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $381.45 | 28 | $10,680.59 | $11,048.64 |
+$111.71 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.10 | 29 | $10,790.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $389.20 | 29 | $11,286.80 | $11,544.54 |
+$495.90 (+4.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $373.72 | 30 | $11,211.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $372.14 | 30 | $11,164.05 | $11,496.99 |
$-47.55 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.61 | 28 | $11,217.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $401.97 | 28 | $11,255.16 | $11,535.07 |
+$38.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $423.62 | 27 | $11,437.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $417.44 | 27 | $11,270.88 | $11,368.34 |
$-166.73 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.96 | 26 | $10,997.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $426.03 | 26 | $11,076.78 | $11,448.03 |
+$79.69 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $425.45 | 26 | $11,061.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $420.15 | 26 | $10,923.90 | $11,310.10 |
$-137.93 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.51 | 26 | $11,063.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $423.52 | 26 | $11,011.52 | $11,258.49 |
$-51.61 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $411.66 | 27 | $11,114.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $412.90 | 27 | $11,148.30 | $11,291.97 |
+$33.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $409.18 | 27 | $11,047.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $412.58 | 27 | $11,139.66 | $11,383.77 |
+$91.80 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $402.46 | 28 | $11,268.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $405.23 | 28 | $11,346.41 | $11,461.30 |
+$77.53 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $385.52 | 29 | $11,180.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $385.85 | 29 | $11,189.65 | $11,470.87 |
+$9.57 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $410.74 | 27 | $11,089.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $412.88 | 27 | $11,147.76 | $11,528.65 |
+$57.78 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.49 | 28 | $11,437.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $403.09 | 28 | $11,286.47 | $11,377.40 |
$-151.25 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $444.86 | 25 | $11,121.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $446.72 | 25 | $11,168.00 | $11,423.90 |
+$46.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $464.79 | 24 | $11,154.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $467.59 | 24 | $11,222.16 | $11,491.10 |
+$67.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $423.20 | 27 | $11,426.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $421.70 | 27 | $11,385.90 | $11,450.60 |
$-40.50 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.11 | 28 | $11,231.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $395.01 | 28 | $11,060.28 | $11,279.66 |
$-170.94 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $379.88 | 29 | $11,016.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $382.39 | 29 | $11,089.31 | $11,352.60 |
+$72.94 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $360.75 | 31 | $11,183.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.29 | 31 | $11,075.99 | $11,245.34 |
$-107.26 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $314.28 | 35 | $10,999.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $324.61 | 35 | $11,361.35 | $11,606.89 |
+$361.55 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 34 | $11,590.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $344.92 | 34 | $11,727.28 | $11,743.37 |
+$136.48 (+1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.93 | 31 | $11,715.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $380.56 | 31 | $11,797.34 | $11,824.89 |
+$81.52 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $373.30 | 31 | $11,572.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $373.92 | 31 | $11,591.52 | $11,844.11 |
+$19.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $410.40 | 28 | $11,491.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $421.61 | 28 | $11,805.16 | $12,158.07 |
+$313.96 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.54 | 27 | $12,137.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $452.76 | 27 | $12,224.52 | $12,245.15 |
+$87.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $454.50 | 26 | $11,817.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $458.79 | 26 | $11,928.54 | $12,356.69 |
+$111.54 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $455.31 | 27 | $12,293.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.46 | 27 | $12,378.42 | $12,441.74 |
+$85.05 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 25 | $12,055.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $480.40 | 25 | $12,010.00 | $12,395.87 |
$-45.87 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $495.08 | 25 | $12,376.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $497.45 | 25 | $12,436.25 | $12,455.24 |
+$59.37 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $518.26 | 24 | $12,438.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $519.36 | 24 | $12,464.64 | $12,481.64 |
+$26.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $514.30 | 24 | $12,343.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $512.15 | 24 | $12,291.53 | $12,429.99 |
$-51.65 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $511.03 | 24 | $12,264.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $515.35 | 24 | $12,368.40 | $12,533.67 |
+$103.68 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $573.63 | 21 | $12,046.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $576.38 | 21 | $12,103.98 | $12,591.42 |
+$57.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,591.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,591.42
Total Return:
+25.91%