Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,184
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
37 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,400.31
Current Value
$11,496.99
Period P&L
$1,096.65
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
13 / 5
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$396,664.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,096.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,096.65
Gross Return
+10.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 37 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,400.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $311.63 33 $10,283.63
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $312.30 33 $10,305.90 $10,422.62 +$22.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.84 30 $10,165.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $340.01 30 $10,200.15 $10,457.58 +$34.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $324.44 32 $10,382.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $327.52 32 $10,480.68 $10,556.18 +$98.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $342.43 30 $10,272.90
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $348.01 30 $10,440.30 $10,723.58 +$167.40
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $343.80 31 $10,657.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $342.19 31 $10,607.89 $10,673.66 $-49.91
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $331.81 32 $10,617.76
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $335.20 32 $10,726.40 $10,782.30 +$108.64
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $341.07 31 $10,573.17
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 31 $11,153.82 $11,362.95 +$580.65
(+5.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.60 31 $11,209.45
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.66 31 $11,335.46 $11,488.96 +$126.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.14 30 $11,464.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $386.62 30 $11,598.60 $11,623.51 +$134.55
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $400.64 29 $11,618.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $399.28 29 $11,579.12 $11,584.07 $-39.44
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $390.25 29 $11,317.11
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $402.17 29 $11,662.93 $11,929.89 +$345.82
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $429.57 27 $11,598.39
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $428.16 27 $11,560.30 $11,891.81 $-38.09
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $427.10 27 $11,531.58
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $428.63 27 $11,573.01 $11,933.23 +$41.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.58 27 $11,814.75
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $438.49 27 $11,839.23 $11,957.71 +$24.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 29 $11,706.13
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $368.46 29 $10,685.34 $10,936.93 $-1,020.79
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $377.46 28 $10,568.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $381.45 28 $10,680.59 $11,048.64 +$111.71
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 29 $10,790.90
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $389.20 29 $11,286.80 $11,544.54 +$495.90
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $373.72 30 $11,211.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.14 30 $11,164.05 $11,496.99 $-47.55
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,496.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,496.99
Total Return: +14.97%
Back to Professor Mean