Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,939
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,149.14
Current Value
$9,065.06
Period P&L
$915.96
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-2.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$277,196.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$915.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$915.96
Gross Return
+11.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,149.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.13 1,590 $8,148.75
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $5.12 1,590 $8,132.85 $8,133.22 $-15.90
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.88 1,666 $8,130.08
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.89 1,666 $8,146.74 $8,149.88 +$16.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.81 1,696 $8,149.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $4.82 1,696 $8,166.24 $8,166.84 +$16.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.73 1,726 $8,163.98
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.68 1,726 $8,069.05 $8,071.91 $-94.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.87 1,659 $8,071.04
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.89 1,659 $8,108.86 $8,109.73 +$37.83
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.72 1,719 $8,105.09
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 1,719 $7,881.62 $7,886.26 $-223.47
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $4.62 1,706 $7,881.72
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET $4.63 1,706 $7,890.25 $7,894.79 +$8.53
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $4.59 1,719 $7,890.21
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.57 1,719 $7,847.24 $7,851.82 $-42.97
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $4.83 1,625 $7,848.75
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.84 1,625 $7,862.56 $7,865.63 +$13.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.65 1,691 $7,863.15
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 1,691 $7,913.03 $7,915.51 +$49.88
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.59 1,724 $7,913.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $4.63 1,724 $7,979.71 $7,982.06 +$66.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.81 1,661 $7,981.11
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 1,661 $8,200.86 $8,201.81 +$219.75
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 1,810 $8,199.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $4.48 1,810 $8,108.80 $8,111.31 $-90.50
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.49 1,808 $8,108.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.47 1,808 $8,090.80 $8,093.23 $-18.08
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.80 1,685 $8,093.05
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.12 1,685 $8,623.83 $8,624.00 +$530.78
(+6.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,811 $8,619.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $4.95 1,811 $8,973.50 $8,977.69 +$353.69
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.96 1,809 $8,972.82
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $5.01 1,809 $9,060.20 $9,065.06 +$87.37
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,065.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-934.94
Total Return: -9.35%
Back to Professor Mean