Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,190
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,871.64
Current Value
$14,407.37
Period P&L
$535.71
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-0.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$475,023.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$535.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$535.71
Gross Return
+3.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,871.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET $189.30 73 $13,818.90
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $188.43 73 $13,755.39 $13,808.15 $-63.51
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $187.57 73 $13,692.60
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $188.17 73 $13,736.41 $13,851.95 +$43.81
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $189.25 73 $13,815.25
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.24 73 $13,814.52 $13,851.22 $-0.73
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $184.05 75 $13,803.38
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET $185.63 75 $13,922.25 $13,970.10 +$118.88
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET $184.65 75 $13,848.89
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET $184.77 75 $13,857.76 $13,978.97 +$8.87
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $183.43 76 $13,940.68
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $182.43 76 $13,864.36 $13,902.65 $-76.32
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.78 74 $13,895.72
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $189.28 74 $14,006.94 $14,013.87 +$111.22
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $182.09 76 $13,838.84
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $180.48 76 $13,716.48 $13,891.51 $-122.36
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $184.28 75 $13,820.63
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $184.57 75 $13,842.75 $13,913.64 +$22.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $186.29 74 $13,785.46
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $186.87 74 $13,828.38 $13,956.56 +$42.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $188.89 73 $13,788.97
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $191.31 73 $13,965.62 $14,133.21 +$176.65
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $190.61 74 $14,105.14
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $191.69 74 $14,185.06 $14,213.13 +$79.92
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $191.44 74 $14,166.56
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $191.77 74 $14,190.98 $14,237.55 +$24.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $189.41 75 $14,205.75
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $189.00 75 $14,175.01 $14,206.81 $-30.74
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $176.97 80 $14,157.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $178.53 80 $14,282.12 $14,331.33 +$124.52
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.20 82 $14,284.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $175.26 82 $14,371.32 $14,418.25 +$86.92
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $190.34 75 $14,275.13
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.19 75 $14,264.25 $14,407.37 $-10.88
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
48m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,407.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,407.37
Total Return: +44.07%
Back to Professor Mean