Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
3,176
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,794.31
Current Value
$9,947.63
Period P&L
$153.37
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+1.81%
Worst Trade
-0.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,529.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$153.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$153.37
Gross Return
+1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,794.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $142.66 68 $9,700.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $142.74 68 $9,706.32 $9,800.04 +$5.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $140.19 69 $9,672.77
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $140.03 69 $9,662.07 $9,789.34 $-10.70
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $138.27 70 $9,678.55
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $138.07 70 $9,664.74 $9,775.53 $-13.81
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $138.91 70 $9,723.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $139.26 70 $9,748.20 $9,800.03 +$24.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $139.46 70 $9,762.20
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $139.13 70 $9,739.10 $9,776.93 $-23.10
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $141.63 69 $9,772.47
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $142.18 69 $9,810.42 $9,814.88 +$37.95
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $145.48 67 $9,747.16
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $145.83 67 $9,770.61 $9,838.33 +$23.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $145.92 67 $9,776.65
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $146.11 67 $9,789.04 $9,850.72 +$12.39
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET $145.83 67 $9,770.28
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:15am ET $145.89 67 $9,774.40 $9,854.85 +$4.13
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $145.68 67 $9,760.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $144.78 67 $9,700.26 $9,794.55 $-60.30
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:35am ET $144.43 67 $9,676.81
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $144.58 67 $9,686.79 $9,804.53 +$9.98
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.45 66 $9,797.87
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $148.35 66 $9,791.10 $9,797.76 $-6.76
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $149.79 65 $9,736.35
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $149.22 65 $9,699.19 $9,760.60 $-37.16
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.19 62 $9,621.78
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $158.00 62 $9,796.00 $9,934.82 +$174.22
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $165.60 59 $9,770.11
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $166.43 59 $9,819.08 $9,983.79 +$48.97
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $167.29 59 $9,870.11
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $166.39 59 $9,816.83 $9,930.52 $-53.28
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $166.95 59 $9,850.05
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $167.24 59 $9,867.16 $9,947.63 +$17.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,947.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-52.37
Total Return: -0.52%
Back to Professor Mean