PFE Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
+3.58%
Year to Date Return
$10,352.33
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$9,994.16
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
18.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 18.8
30-Day Momentum
17
-0.9%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,121
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,994.16
Current Value
$10,352.33
Period P&L
$358.23
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
30 /
17
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$951,413.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$358.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$358.23
Gross Return
+3.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,994.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.05 | 398 | $9,969.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $25.15 | 398 | $10,007.71 | $10,031.93 |
+$37.81 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $25.60 | 391 | $10,007.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $25.50 | 391 | $9,970.81 | $9,995.10 |
$-36.83 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $25.36 | 394 | $9,990.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $25.22 | 394 | $9,936.68 | $9,941.51 |
$-53.58 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 392 | $9,929.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.48 | 392 | $9,986.20 | $9,998.35 |
+$56.84 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.05 | 399 | $9,994.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.12 | 399 | $10,020.89 | $10,024.29 |
+$25.93 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $25.57 | 392 | $10,021.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.43 | 392 | $9,969.70 | $9,972.50 |
$-51.78 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $25.60 | 389 | $9,958.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $25.67 | 389 | $9,985.36 | $9,999.46 |
+$26.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $25.54 | 391 | $9,986.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.54 | 391 | $9,984.19 | $9,997.51 |
$-1.95 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $26.04 | 383 | $9,973.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.09 | 383 | $9,992.47 | $10,016.66 |
+$19.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.80 | 388 | $10,008.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $25.83 | 388 | $10,022.04 | $10,030.24 |
+$13.58 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $26.44 | 379 | $10,018.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $26.49 | 379 | $10,037.82 | $10,049.19 |
+$18.95 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.12 | 384 | $10,028.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $26.03 | 384 | $9,995.52 | $10,016.55 |
$-32.64 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.60 | 391 | $10,011.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.52 | 391 | $9,980.27 | $9,985.74 |
$-30.81 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $26.94 | 370 | $9,969.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.93 | 370 | $9,965.95 | $9,982.04 |
$-3.70 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.07 | 368 | $9,959.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $26.94 | 368 | $9,915.76 | $9,937.87 |
$-44.16 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $27.49 | 361 | $9,923.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $27.56 | 361 | $9,948.22 | $9,962.20 |
+$24.33 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $27.76 | 358 | $9,938.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $27.81 | 358 | $9,954.19 | $9,978.31 |
+$16.11 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $27.46 | 363 | $9,967.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.43 | 363 | $9,958.90 | $9,969.24 |
$-9.07 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $27.39 | 363 | $9,943.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.43 | 363 | $9,956.55 | $9,982.34 |
+$13.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.63 | 374 | $9,957.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $26.48 | 374 | $9,903.52 | $9,928.11 |
$-54.23 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:40pm ET | $26.95 | 368 | $9,919.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:55pm ET | $27.02 | 368 | $9,945.20 | $9,953.87 |
+$25.76 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.06 | 367 | $9,929.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.20 | 367 | $9,984.23 | $10,008.92 |
+$55.05 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.89 | 372 | $10,001.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $27.08 | 372 | $10,073.76 | $10,081.46 |
+$72.54 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $27.25 | 369 | $10,057.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.42 | 369 | $10,119.82 | $10,144.19 |
+$62.73 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $26.64 | 380 | $10,123.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:45pm ET | $26.76 | 380 | $10,170.70 | $10,191.69 |
+$47.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.34 | 386 | $10,169.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.57 | 386 | $10,256.02 | $10,278.54 |
+$86.85 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.70 | 384 | $10,252.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $26.64 | 384 | $10,229.76 | $10,255.54 |
$-23.00 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $27.13 | 378 | $10,255.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $27.23 | 378 | $10,291.05 | $10,291.45 |
+$35.91 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $27.05 | 380 | $10,277.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $27.16 | 380 | $10,319.32 | $10,333.67 |
+$42.22 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $26.57 | 388 | $10,307.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.64 | 388 | $10,334.38 | $10,360.83 |
+$27.16 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.23 | 380 | $10,347.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.14 | 380 | $10,311.30 | $10,324.73 |
$-36.10 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $27.17 | 379 | $10,299.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $27.08 | 379 | $10,263.32 | $10,288.73 |
$-36.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.64 | 386 | $10,281.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $26.77 | 386 | $10,333.22 | $10,340.84 |
+$52.11 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.97 | 383 | $10,327.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.15 | 383 | $10,396.54 | $10,409.78 |
+$68.94 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.57 | 377 | $10,392.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.60 | 377 | $10,405.20 | $10,422.97 |
+$13.19 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $28.27 | 368 | $10,403.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $28.34 | 368 | $10,429.12 | $10,448.73 |
+$25.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.53 | 379 | $10,433.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $26.92 | 379 | $10,204.57 | $10,219.43 |
$-229.30 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.12 | 376 | $10,197.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.01 | 376 | $10,157.64 | $10,179.95 |
$-39.48 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.17 | 374 | $10,163.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.24 | 374 | $10,187.76 | $10,204.26 |
+$24.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $27.18 | 375 | $10,194.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $27.24 | 375 | $10,213.13 | $10,223.01 |
+$18.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.74 | 368 | $10,206.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $27.78 | 368 | $10,223.04 | $10,239.57 |
+$16.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $27.42 | 373 | $10,225.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.47 | 373 | $10,246.31 | $10,260.08 |
+$20.51 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.75 | 383 | $10,247.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.45 | 383 | $10,130.31 | $10,143.23 |
$-116.85 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.90 | 377 | $10,141.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.03 | 377 | $10,190.31 | $10,192.24 |
+$49.01 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.45 | 385 | $10,183.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $26.83 | 385 | $10,327.63 | $10,336.62 |
+$144.38 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 389 | $10,314.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.50 | 389 | $10,310.44 | $10,332.73 |
$-3.89 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.33 | 392 | $10,319.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.38 | 392 | $10,339.00 | $10,352.33 |
+$19.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,352.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$352.33
Total Return:
+3.52%