Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,812
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,994.16
Current Value
$9,978.31
Period P&L
$-15.79
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+0.57%
Worst Trade
-0.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$339,363.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-15.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-15.79
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,994.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $25.05 398 $9,969.90
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $25.15 398 $10,007.71 $10,031.93 +$37.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $25.60 391 $10,007.65
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $25.50 391 $9,970.81 $9,995.10 $-36.83
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $25.36 394 $9,990.26
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.22 394 $9,936.68 $9,941.51 $-53.58
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $25.33 392 $9,929.36
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $25.48 392 $9,986.20 $9,998.35 +$56.84
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $25.05 399 $9,994.95
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET $25.12 399 $10,020.89 $10,024.29 +$25.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $25.57 392 $10,021.48
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $25.43 392 $9,969.70 $9,972.50 $-51.78
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.60 389 $9,958.40
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.67 389 $9,985.36 $9,999.46 +$26.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $25.54 391 $9,986.14
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $25.54 391 $9,984.19 $9,997.51 $-1.95
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $26.04 383 $9,973.32
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.09 383 $9,992.47 $10,016.66 +$19.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $25.80 388 $10,008.46
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $25.83 388 $10,022.04 $10,030.24 +$13.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $26.44 379 $10,018.87
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $26.49 379 $10,037.82 $10,049.19 +$18.95
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $26.12 384 $10,028.16
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $26.03 384 $9,995.52 $10,016.55 $-32.64
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.60 391 $10,011.09
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $25.52 391 $9,980.27 $9,985.74 $-30.81
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.94 370 $9,969.65
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.93 370 $9,965.95 $9,982.04 $-3.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $27.07 368 $9,959.92
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $26.94 368 $9,915.76 $9,937.87 $-44.16
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $27.49 361 $9,923.89
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.56 361 $9,948.22 $9,962.20 +$24.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $27.76 358 $9,938.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $27.81 358 $9,954.19 $9,978.31 +$16.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,978.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-21.69
Total Return: -0.22%
Back to Professor Mean