Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
37 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,152.81
Current Value
$9,647.77
Period P&L
$-504.96
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+0.74%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
2.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,792.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-504.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-504.96
Gross Return
-4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 37 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,152.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.21 174 $10,128.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $57.95 174 $10,083.32 $10,107.52 $-45.22
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $59.34 170 $10,086.95
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $59.42 170 $10,100.55 $10,121.12 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $58.69 172 $10,094.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.89 172 $9,956.22 $9,982.64 $-138.48
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $57.99 172 $9,974.28
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $57.65 172 $9,915.80 $9,924.16 $-58.48
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.24 173 $9,902.52
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:00pm ET $57.19 173 $9,893.01 $9,914.64 $-9.51
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $57.11 173 $9,880.03
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $56.82 173 $9,829.86 $9,864.47 $-50.17
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $56.39 174 $9,810.99
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01 $9,904.49 +$40.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.26 179 $9,890.73
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $55.39 179 $9,914.54 $9,928.30 +$23.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $57.14 173 $9,885.22
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.98 173 $9,856.68 $9,899.76 $-28.54
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $56.77 174 $9,877.49 $9,926.24 +$26.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $54.82 181 $9,922.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $54.77 181 $9,913.60 $9,917.42 $-8.82
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $53.17 186 $9,889.62
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET $52.98 186 $9,853.82 $9,881.61 $-35.81
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $52.07 189 $9,841.23
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.28 189 $9,880.92 $9,921.30 +$39.69
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $52.65 188 $9,899.14
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $52.92 188 $9,949.90 $9,972.06 +$50.76
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.52 240 $9,964.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $40.42 240 $9,700.80 $9,708.06 $-264.00
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $40.48 239 $9,674.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET $40.20 239 $9,606.80 $9,640.14 $-67.92
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.12 240 $9,627.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.41 240 $9,698.40 $9,710.94 +$70.80
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.75 232 $9,685.81
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $41.57 232 $9,644.24 $9,669.37 $-41.57
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $40.16 240 $9,638.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.07 240 $9,616.80 $9,647.77 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,647.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-352.23
Total Return: -3.52%
Back to Professor Mean