PYPL Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
-2.81%
Year to Date Return
$9,867.08
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,152.81
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
13.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 13.2
30-Day Momentum
27
+1.4%
30d Return
53%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.3
Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,943
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,152.81
Current Value
$9,867.08
Period P&L
$-285.65
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
29 /
25
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,057,625.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-285.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-285.65
Gross Return
-2.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,152.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.21 | 174 | $10,128.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.95 | 174 | $10,083.32 | $10,107.52 |
$-45.22 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $59.34 | 170 | $10,086.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $59.42 | 170 | $10,100.55 | $10,121.12 |
+$13.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $58.69 | 172 | $10,094.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.89 | 172 | $9,956.22 | $9,982.64 |
$-138.48 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.99 | 172 | $9,974.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $57.65 | 172 | $9,915.80 | $9,924.16 |
$-58.48 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $57.24 | 173 | $9,902.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:00pm ET | $57.19 | 173 | $9,893.01 | $9,914.64 |
$-9.51 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.11 | 173 | $9,880.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.82 | 173 | $9,829.86 | $9,864.47 |
$-50.17 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $56.39 | 174 | $9,810.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.62 | 174 | $9,851.01 | $9,904.49 |
+$40.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $55.26 | 179 | $9,890.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $55.39 | 179 | $9,914.54 | $9,928.30 |
+$23.81 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $57.14 | 173 | $9,885.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $56.98 | 173 | $9,856.68 | $9,899.76 |
$-28.54 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $56.62 | 174 | $9,851.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $56.77 | 174 | $9,877.49 | $9,926.24 |
+$26.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.82 | 181 | $9,922.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.77 | 181 | $9,913.60 | $9,917.42 |
$-8.82 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.17 | 186 | $9,889.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $52.98 | 186 | $9,853.82 | $9,881.61 |
$-35.81 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $52.07 | 189 | $9,841.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.28 | 189 | $9,880.92 | $9,921.30 |
+$39.69 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $52.65 | 188 | $9,899.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $52.92 | 188 | $9,949.90 | $9,972.06 |
+$50.76 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $41.52 | 240 | $9,964.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.42 | 240 | $9,700.80 | $9,708.06 |
$-264.00 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.48 | 239 | $9,674.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.20 | 239 | $9,606.80 | $9,640.14 |
$-67.92 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $40.12 | 240 | $9,627.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $40.41 | 240 | $9,698.40 | $9,710.94 |
+$70.80 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.75 | 232 | $9,685.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $41.57 | 232 | $9,644.24 | $9,669.37 |
$-41.57 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $40.16 | 240 | $9,638.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $40.07 | 240 | $9,616.80 | $9,647.77 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $40.92 | 235 | $9,615.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $41.14 | 235 | $9,667.90 | $9,700.64 |
+$52.87 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $41.07 | 236 | $9,692.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $41.57 | 236 | $9,810.52 | $9,818.64 |
+$118.00 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.06 | 239 | $9,813.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $40.88 | 239 | $9,769.13 | $9,774.42 |
$-44.22 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $45.77 | 213 | $9,748.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $44.76 | 213 | $9,534.94 | $9,560.48 |
$-213.94 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $45.61 | 209 | $9,532.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $45.96 | 209 | $9,605.62 | $9,633.61 |
+$73.13 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.26 | 212 | $9,595.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $45.60 | 212 | $9,667.20 | $9,705.69 |
+$72.08 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $46.99 | 206 | $9,679.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $47.06 | 206 | $9,694.36 | $9,720.11 |
+$14.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.27 | 205 | $9,690.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $46.87 | 205 | $9,607.33 | $9,637.09 |
$-83.02 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $45.65 | 211 | $9,631.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $45.68 | 211 | $9,638.48 | $9,644.47 |
+$7.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.19 | 213 | $9,626.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $45.28 | 213 | $9,644.64 | $9,662.57 |
+$18.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $45.58 | 212 | $9,661.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $45.74 | 212 | $9,695.82 | $9,696.49 |
+$33.92 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $46.22 | 209 | $9,661.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $46.40 | 209 | $9,698.64 | $9,734.11 |
+$37.62 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $44.60 | 218 | $9,723.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.26 | 218 | $9,648.68 | $9,659.27 |
$-74.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $43.81 | 220 | $9,639.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $43.94 | 220 | $9,666.80 | $9,686.77 |
+$27.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.91 | 215 | $9,655.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $44.66 | 215 | $9,601.90 | $9,633.02 |
$-53.75 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $44.63 | 215 | $9,595.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $44.74 | 215 | $9,618.03 | $9,655.59 |
+$22.57 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $44.97 | 214 | $9,623.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $45.15 | 214 | $9,661.03 | $9,693.04 |
+$37.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $43.71 | 221 | $9,660.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $43.88 | 221 | $9,697.48 | $9,730.12 |
+$37.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.19 | 215 | $9,715.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.58 | 215 | $9,584.70 | $9,598.97 |
$-131.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.86 | 218 | $9,561.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $44.48 | 218 | $9,696.64 | $9,734.13 |
+$135.16 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $45.69 | 213 | $9,731.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $45.71 | 213 | $9,735.17 | $9,737.33 |
+$3.20 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $44.69 | 217 | $9,697.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $45.01 | 217 | $9,767.17 | $9,806.77 |
+$69.44 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $45.42 | 215 | $9,765.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $45.34 | 215 | $9,748.10 | $9,789.57 |
$-17.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $44.99 | 217 | $9,761.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $45.24 | 217 | $9,818.16 | $9,845.99 |
+$56.42 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $47.97 | 205 | $9,833.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.06 | 205 | $9,852.30 | $9,864.44 |
+$18.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.56 | 203 | $9,856.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.73 | 203 | $10,095.19 | $10,102.96 |
+$238.52 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $50.79 | 198 | $10,056.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $50.70 | 198 | $10,038.14 | $10,084.68 |
$-18.28 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.44 | 196 | $10,082.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $51.19 | 196 | $10,032.26 | $10,034.70 |
$-49.98 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.71 | 197 | $9,989.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.92 | 197 | $9,834.24 | $9,879.07 |
$-155.63 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.70 | 198 | $9,840.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $50.00 | 198 | $9,900.00 | $9,938.47 |
+$59.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $49.88 | 199 | $9,925.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.90 | 199 | $9,929.11 | $9,942.45 |
+$3.98 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.67 | 200 | $9,934.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.60 | 200 | $9,920.00 | $9,928.45 |
$-14.00 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.18 | 197 | $9,885.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $50.13 | 197 | $9,875.61 | $9,918.60 |
$-9.85 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $50.58 | 196 | $9,914.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.73 | 196 | $9,943.08 | $9,947.02 |
+$28.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.24 | 219 | $9,907.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.88 | 219 | $9,827.63 | $9,867.08 |
$-79.94 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,867.08
Net Profit/Loss:
$-132.92
Total Return:
-1.33%