Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,188
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,627.48
Current Value
$10,613.52
Period P&L
$-13.98
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+0.59%
Worst Trade
-1.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$378,478.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-13.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-13.98
Gross Return
-0.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,627.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $616.27 17 $10,476.59
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $619.90 17 $10,538.30 $10,721.85 +$61.71
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $619.00 17 $10,523.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $618.63 17 $10,516.71 $10,715.56 $-6.29
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $626.59 17 $10,652.10
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $627.33 17 $10,664.61 $10,728.07 +$12.51
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $618.83 17 $10,520.11
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $619.41 17 $10,529.97 $10,737.93 +$9.86
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.67 17 $10,653.39
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $624.95 17 $10,624.13 $10,708.67 $-29.26
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $627.20 17 $10,662.40
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $626.14 17 $10,644.38 $10,690.65 $-18.02
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $625.35 17 $10,630.99
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $626.00 17 $10,642.00 $10,701.67 +$11.02
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $613.05 17 $10,421.85
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $611.95 17 $10,403.15 $10,682.97 $-18.70
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $611.82 17 $10,400.94
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $610.34 17 $10,375.78 $10,657.81 $-25.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $621.06 17 $10,558.02
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $621.72 17 $10,569.24 $10,669.03 +$11.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $622.12 17 $10,576.04
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $622.85 17 $10,588.51 $10,681.50 +$12.47
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $625.88 17 $10,639.88
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $628.37 17 $10,682.32 $10,723.94 +$42.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $632.33 16 $10,117.20
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $633.27 16 $10,132.32 $10,739.06 +$15.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $624.03 17 $10,608.51
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $622.93 17 $10,589.73 $10,720.28 $-18.79
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $627.33 17 $10,664.61
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $626.04 17 $10,642.68 $10,698.35 $-21.93
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $610.44 17 $10,377.48
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $604.34 17 $10,273.78 $10,594.65 $-103.70
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $607.71 17 $10,331.07
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $608.37 17 $10,342.29 $10,605.87 +$11.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $614.60 17 $10,448.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $615.05 17 $10,455.85 $10,613.52 +$7.65
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,613.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$613.52
Total Return: +6.14%
Back to Professor Mean