QQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+1.02%
Year to Date Return
$10,736.41
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,627.48
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
27.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.4
30-Day Momentum
50
+2.1%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
6.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,502
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,627.48
Current Value
$10,736.41
Period P&L
$108.91
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
30 /
20
Best Trade
+0.73%
Worst Trade
-1.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,036,386.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$108.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$108.91
Gross Return
+1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,627.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $616.27 | 17 | $10,476.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $619.90 | 17 | $10,538.30 | $10,721.85 |
+$61.71 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $619.00 | 17 | $10,523.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $618.63 | 17 | $10,516.71 | $10,715.56 |
$-6.29 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $626.59 | 17 | $10,652.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $627.33 | 17 | $10,664.61 | $10,728.07 |
+$12.51 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $618.83 | 17 | $10,520.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $619.41 | 17 | $10,529.97 | $10,737.93 |
+$9.86 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $626.67 | 17 | $10,653.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $624.95 | 17 | $10,624.13 | $10,708.67 |
$-29.26 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $627.20 | 17 | $10,662.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $626.14 | 17 | $10,644.38 | $10,690.65 |
$-18.02 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $625.35 | 17 | $10,630.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $626.00 | 17 | $10,642.00 | $10,701.67 |
+$11.02 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.05 | 17 | $10,421.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $611.95 | 17 | $10,403.15 | $10,682.97 |
$-18.70 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $611.82 | 17 | $10,400.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $610.34 | 17 | $10,375.78 | $10,657.81 |
$-25.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $621.06 | 17 | $10,558.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $621.72 | 17 | $10,569.24 | $10,669.03 |
+$11.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $622.12 | 17 | $10,576.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $622.85 | 17 | $10,588.51 | $10,681.50 |
+$12.47 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $625.88 | 17 | $10,639.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $628.37 | 17 | $10,682.32 | $10,723.94 |
+$42.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $632.33 | 16 | $10,117.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $633.27 | 16 | $10,132.32 | $10,739.06 |
+$15.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $624.03 | 17 | $10,608.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $622.93 | 17 | $10,589.73 | $10,720.28 |
$-18.79 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $627.33 | 17 | $10,664.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $626.04 | 17 | $10,642.68 | $10,698.35 |
$-21.93 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $610.44 | 17 | $10,377.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $604.34 | 17 | $10,273.78 | $10,594.65 |
$-103.70 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $607.71 | 17 | $10,331.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $608.37 | 17 | $10,342.29 | $10,605.87 |
+$11.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $614.60 | 17 | $10,448.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $615.05 | 17 | $10,455.85 | $10,613.52 |
+$7.65 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $598.59 | 17 | $10,176.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $597.05 | 17 | $10,149.85 | $10,587.34 |
$-26.18 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $607.38 | 17 | $10,325.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $605.22 | 17 | $10,288.74 | $10,550.62 |
$-36.72 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.12 | 17 | $10,202.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $602.84 | 17 | $10,248.28 | $10,596.86 |
+$46.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $606.71 | 17 | $10,314.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $601.17 | 17 | $10,219.89 | $10,502.68 |
$-94.18 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $615.89 | 17 | $10,470.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $616.22 | 17 | $10,475.82 | $10,508.37 |
+$5.69 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $602.99 | 17 | $10,250.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $606.63 | 17 | $10,312.71 | $10,570.25 |
+$61.88 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $606.91 | 17 | $10,317.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $608.28 | 17 | $10,340.76 | $10,593.46 |
+$23.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $611.32 | 17 | $10,392.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $607.47 | 17 | $10,326.99 | $10,528.01 |
$-65.45 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.25 | 17 | $10,204.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $604.08 | 17 | $10,269.28 | $10,593.04 |
+$65.03 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $609.11 | 17 | $10,354.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.54 | 17 | $10,362.18 | $10,600.35 |
+$7.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $602.99 | 17 | $10,250.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $600.23 | 17 | $10,203.91 | $10,553.43 |
$-46.92 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $592.73 | 17 | $10,076.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $594.56 | 17 | $10,107.52 | $10,584.54 |
+$31.11 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $602.52 | 17 | $10,242.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $603.48 | 17 | $10,259.16 | $10,600.86 |
+$16.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $599.55 | 17 | $10,192.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $599.88 | 17 | $10,197.96 | $10,606.47 |
+$5.61 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $591.56 | 17 | $10,056.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $589.26 | 17 | $10,017.42 | $10,567.37 |
$-39.10 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $586.97 | 18 | $10,565.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $587.96 | 18 | $10,583.28 | $10,585.19 |
+$17.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $570.44 | 18 | $10,267.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $567.78 | 18 | $10,220.04 | $10,537.31 |
$-47.88 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $559.22 | 18 | $10,065.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $558.80 | 18 | $10,058.40 | $10,529.75 |
$-7.56 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $585.78 | 17 | $9,958.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $584.63 | 17 | $9,938.71 | $10,510.20 |
$-19.55 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $585.32 | 17 | $9,950.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $587.15 | 17 | $9,981.55 | $10,541.31 |
+$31.11 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $582.10 | 18 | $10,477.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $586.33 | 18 | $10,554.02 | $10,617.58 |
+$76.27 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $610.78 | 17 | $10,383.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $610.43 | 17 | $10,377.39 | $10,611.71 |
$-5.87 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $631.95 | 16 | $10,111.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $633.10 | 16 | $10,129.60 | $10,630.11 |
+$18.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $638.34 | 16 | $10,213.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $639.36 | 16 | $10,229.76 | $10,646.43 |
+$16.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $646.71 | 16 | $10,347.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $645.05 | 16 | $10,320.80 | $10,619.87 |
$-26.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $644.72 | 16 | $10,315.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $646.19 | 16 | $10,339.04 | $10,643.34 |
+$23.47 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $652.86 | 16 | $10,445.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $653.75 | 16 | $10,460.00 | $10,657.58 |
+$14.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $662.50 | 16 | $10,600.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $662.47 | 16 | $10,599.52 | $10,657.10 |
$-0.48 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $656.82 | 16 | $10,509.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $658.20 | 16 | $10,531.20 | $10,679.26 |
+$22.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $658.81 | 16 | $10,540.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $660.52 | 16 | $10,568.32 | $10,706.63 |
+$27.37 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $673.65 | 15 | $10,104.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $674.86 | 15 | $10,122.90 | $10,724.78 |
+$18.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $680.61 | 15 | $10,209.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $681.39 | 15 | $10,220.85 | $10,736.41 |
+$11.63 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,736.41
Net Profit/Loss:
+$736.41
Total Return:
+7.36%