Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,593.87
Current Value
$8,110.63
Period P&L
$516.74
Max Drawdown
-55.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
14 / 5
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$303,332.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$516.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$516.74
Gross Return
+6.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,593.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.88 245 $7,565.58
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $31.08 245 $7,613.38 $7,641.71 +$47.80
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $30.09 253 $7,612.74
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $30.33 253 $7,673.52 $7,702.48 +$60.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $29.98 256 $7,674.93
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET $30.07 256 $7,696.64 $7,724.19 +$21.71
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $29.73 259 $7,700.07
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $30.17 259 $7,812.74 $7,836.85 +$112.67
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $30.12 260 $7,829.90
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $30.25 260 $7,863.70 $7,870.65 +$33.80
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $28.22 278 $7,846.08
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $28.31 278 $7,870.18 $7,894.76 +$24.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $29.39 268 $7,876.52
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $29.64 268 $7,943.52 $7,961.76 +$67.00
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $30.52 260 $7,935.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $31.25 260 $8,123.70 $8,150.26 +$188.50
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $31.25 260 $8,125.26
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $31.31 260 $8,141.48 $8,166.47 +$16.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $32.41 251 $8,134.56
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $32.59 251 $8,180.09 $8,212.00 +$45.53
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 265 $8,183.20
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $31.38 265 $8,314.38 $8,343.18 +$131.18
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $30.95 269 $8,325.55
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.96 269 $8,328.24 $8,345.87 +$2.69
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $31.14 268 $8,344.18
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $30.48 268 $8,168.64 $8,170.33 $-175.54
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $29.74 274 $8,148.76
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $29.61 274 $8,113.14 $8,134.71 $-35.62
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $30.47 266 $8,105.02
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $29.83 266 $7,935.90 $7,965.58 $-169.12
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $32.68 243 $7,941.97
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $32.64 243 $7,932.25 $7,955.87 $-9.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $30.77 258 $7,938.84
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $30.85 258 $7,959.30 $7,976.32 +$20.46
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $32.86 242 $7,952.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $33.76 242 $8,168.71 $8,192.91 +$216.59
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $33.75 242 $8,167.50
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $33.41 242 $8,085.22 $8,110.63 $-82.28
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,110.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,889.37
Total Return: -18.89%
Back to Professor Mean