SOFI Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
+1.92%
Year to Date Return
$10,559.59
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,360.97
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
22.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 22.0
30-Day Momentum
64
+6.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.7
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,360
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,360.97
Current Value
$10,559.59
Period P&L
$198.66
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
29 /
20
Best Trade
+2.25%
Worst Trade
-2.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$991,828.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$198.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$198.66
Gross Return
+1.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,360.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.97 | 399 | $10,360.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.25 | 399 | $10,473.35 | $10,474.04 |
+$113.12 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $29.14 | 359 | $10,459.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $29.42 | 359 | $10,560.20 | $10,574.78 |
+$100.74 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.63 | 397 | $10,572.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.95 | 397 | $10,697.17 | $10,699.04 |
+$124.26 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $27.96 | 382 | $10,680.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.47 | 382 | $10,491.63 | $10,509.95 |
$-189.09 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.52 | 396 | $10,499.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.54 | 396 | $10,509.84 | $10,519.85 |
+$9.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $26.86 | 391 | $10,502.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.50 | 391 | $10,361.50 | $10,379.05 |
$-140.80 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.64 | 404 | $10,358.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.00 | 404 | $10,503.92 | $10,524.41 |
+$145.36 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.52 | 412 | $10,512.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.16 | 412 | $10,367.77 | $10,380.00 |
$-144.41 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.06 | 398 | $10,369.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.88 | 398 | $10,298.25 | $10,308.36 |
$-71.64 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $25.85 | 398 | $10,288.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $25.92 | 398 | $10,314.17 | $10,334.23 |
+$25.87 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $24.97 | 413 | $10,310.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $25.10 | 413 | $10,364.24 | $10,387.92 |
+$53.69 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.30 | 427 | $10,375.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $24.39 | 427 | $10,412.40 | $10,424.65 |
+$36.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $22.58 | 461 | $10,411.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $22.63 | 461 | $10,432.43 | $10,445.48 |
+$20.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $21.78 | 479 | $10,432.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $21.25 | 479 | $10,176.98 | $10,189.84 |
$-255.64 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.18 | 504 | $10,173.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.88 | 504 | $10,017.60 | $10,034.21 |
$-155.64 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $20.93 | 479 | $10,027.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $20.83 | 479 | $9,975.18 | $9,981.52 |
$-52.69 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $21.33 | 467 | $9,963.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $21.25 | 467 | $9,926.08 | $9,944.16 |
$-37.36 (-0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.79 | 478 | $9,937.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.65 | 478 | $9,868.31 | $9,874.85 |
$-69.31 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.45 | 507 | $9,861.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $19.39 | 507 | $9,830.68 | $9,844.38 |
$-30.47 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $19.83 | 496 | $9,833.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.26 | 496 | $9,552.96 | $9,564.14 |
$-280.24 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.81 | 508 | $9,555.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $19.00 | 508 | $9,654.54 | $9,663.20 |
+$99.06 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $19.42 | 497 | $9,651.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $19.39 | 497 | $9,634.35 | $9,645.76 |
$-17.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $17.48 | 551 | $9,632.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $17.52 | 551 | $9,656.27 | $9,670.00 |
+$24.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $18.63 | 519 | $9,668.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.05 | 519 | $9,886.95 | $9,887.98 |
+$217.98 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.48 | 535 | $9,886.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $18.71 | 535 | $10,010.81 | $10,011.99 |
+$124.01 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $18.43 | 543 | $10,007.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $18.52 | 543 | $10,059.07 | $10,063.57 |
+$51.58 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $17.96 | 560 | $10,057.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $17.93 | 560 | $10,038.62 | $10,044.59 |
$-18.98 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $17.58 | 571 | $10,035.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $17.64 | 571 | $10,072.10 | $10,081.08 |
+$36.49 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $17.24 | 584 | $10,068.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $17.17 | 584 | $10,030.20 | $10,043.18 |
$-37.90 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.79 | 598 | $10,040.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.80 | 598 | $10,046.40 | $10,049.16 |
+$5.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $17.17 | 585 | $10,044.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $16.84 | 585 | $9,854.32 | $9,859.44 |
$-189.72 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.06 | 577 | $9,843.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.86 | 577 | $9,728.22 | $9,744.04 |
$-115.40 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $16.88 | 577 | $9,736.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $16.83 | 577 | $9,708.03 | $9,715.19 |
$-28.85 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $15.94 | 609 | $9,710.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $16.00 | 609 | $9,747.04 | $9,751.73 |
+$36.54 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.10 | 645 | $9,742.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $15.13 | 645 | $9,755.63 | $9,764.63 |
+$12.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $15.63 | 624 | $9,753.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.80 | 624 | $9,856.08 | $9,867.65 |
+$103.02 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $16.14 | 611 | $9,858.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $16.17 | 611 | $9,882.92 | $9,892.03 |
+$24.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $16.04 | 616 | $9,882.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $16.22 | 616 | $9,988.44 | $9,997.67 |
+$105.64 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.16 | 618 | $9,983.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.42 | 618 | $10,147.56 | $10,161.44 |
+$163.77 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.16 | 628 | $10,148.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.26 | 628 | $10,214.42 | $10,227.19 |
+$65.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.75 | 576 | $10,226.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $17.80 | 576 | $10,254.24 | $10,254.55 |
+$27.36 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $19.55 | 524 | $10,241.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.52 | 524 | $10,228.53 | $10,241.50 |
$-13.05 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $19.39 | 528 | $10,235.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $19.25 | 528 | $10,166.64 | $10,172.86 |
$-68.64 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.77 | 541 | $10,154.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $18.72 | 541 | $10,127.57 | $10,145.86 |
$-27.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.30 | 554 | $10,138.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $18.51 | 554 | $10,254.54 | $10,262.20 |
+$116.34 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $15.74 | 651 | $10,249.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $15.91 | 651 | $10,355.07 | $10,367.27 |
+$105.07 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $16.06 | 645 | $10,355.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $16.18 | 645 | $10,439.32 | $10,451.12 |
+$83.85 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.45 | 635 | $10,445.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.58 | 635 | $10,531.47 | $10,536.84 |
+$85.72 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.19 | 650 | $10,526.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $16.23 | 650 | $10,549.50 | $10,559.59 |
+$22.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,559.59
Net Profit/Loss:
+$559.59
Total Return:
+5.60%