Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,349
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
37 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,893.09
Current Value
$10,607.00
Period P&L
$-286.00
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,069.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-286.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-286.00
Gross Return
-2.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 37 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,893.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.57 219 $10,855.83
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $49.63 219 $10,869.82 $10,906.98 +$13.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $48.39 225 $10,887.75
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $48.23 225 $10,850.74 $10,869.97 $-37.01
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $47.52 228 $10,835.59
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $47.69 228 $10,873.32 $10,907.70 +$37.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $48.01 227 $10,897.14
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $48.19 227 $10,939.13 $10,949.70 +$41.99
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.17 232 $10,943.44
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $47.16 232 $10,941.12 $10,947.38 $-2.32
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET $47.23 231 $10,910.55
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $47.31 231 $10,928.61 $10,965.44 +$18.06
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $48.65 225 $10,945.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $47.31 225 $10,644.75 $10,665.07 $-300.38
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.57 224 $10,654.56
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $47.74 224 $10,693.78 $10,704.29 +$39.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $50.45 212 $10,695.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $50.33 212 $10,668.98 $10,677.87 $-26.42
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $48.08 222 $10,673.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $48.06 222 $10,668.21 $10,672.48 $-5.39
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $48.21 221 $10,654.41
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $48.39 221 $10,693.20 $10,711.27 +$38.79
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $47.31 226 $10,692.06
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $47.15 226 $10,656.13 $10,675.33 $-35.93
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $46.68 228 $10,643.04
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $47.00 228 $10,716.00 $10,748.29 +$72.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $47.72 225 $10,737.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET $47.84 225 $10,764.00 $10,775.29 +$27.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $47.63 226 $10,765.51
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET $47.32 226 $10,694.32 $10,704.10 $-71.19
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.58 220 $10,687.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $48.75 220 $10,725.00 $10,741.50 +$37.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 216 $10,733.04
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.51 216 $10,478.16 $10,486.62 $-254.88
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $47.18 222 $10,473.96
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $47.22 222 $10,482.84 $10,495.50 +$8.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $47.05 223 $10,492.15
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $47.55 223 $10,603.65 $10,607.00 +$111.50
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,607.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$607.00
Total Return: +6.07%
Back to Professor Mean