SPXU Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+4.79%
Year to Date Return
$11,415.28
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,893.09
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
24.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 24.5
30-Day Momentum
11
-1.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.1
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,661
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,893.09
Current Value
$11,415.28
Period P&L
$522.28
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
29 /
21
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,099,979.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$522.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$522.28
Gross Return
+4.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,893.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.57 | 219 | $10,855.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $49.63 | 219 | $10,869.82 | $10,906.98 |
+$13.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $48.39 | 225 | $10,887.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.23 | 225 | $10,850.74 | $10,869.97 |
$-37.01 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.52 | 228 | $10,835.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.69 | 228 | $10,873.32 | $10,907.70 |
+$37.73 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $48.01 | 227 | $10,897.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $48.19 | 227 | $10,939.13 | $10,949.70 |
+$41.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $47.17 | 232 | $10,943.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.16 | 232 | $10,941.12 | $10,947.38 |
$-2.32 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $47.23 | 231 | $10,910.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $47.31 | 231 | $10,928.61 | $10,965.44 |
+$18.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $48.65 | 225 | $10,945.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.31 | 225 | $10,644.75 | $10,665.07 |
$-300.38 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $47.57 | 224 | $10,654.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $47.74 | 224 | $10,693.78 | $10,704.29 |
+$39.22 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.45 | 212 | $10,695.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.33 | 212 | $10,668.98 | $10,677.87 |
$-26.42 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.08 | 222 | $10,673.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $48.06 | 222 | $10,668.21 | $10,672.48 |
$-5.39 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $48.21 | 221 | $10,654.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $48.39 | 221 | $10,693.20 | $10,711.27 |
+$38.79 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.31 | 226 | $10,692.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.15 | 226 | $10,656.13 | $10,675.33 |
$-35.93 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $46.68 | 228 | $10,643.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.00 | 228 | $10,716.00 | $10,748.29 |
+$72.96 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.72 | 225 | $10,737.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.84 | 225 | $10,764.00 | $10,775.29 |
+$27.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.63 | 226 | $10,765.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $47.32 | 226 | $10,694.32 | $10,704.10 |
$-71.19 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.58 | 220 | $10,687.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.75 | 220 | $10,725.00 | $10,741.50 |
+$37.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.69 | 216 | $10,733.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $48.51 | 216 | $10,478.16 | $10,486.62 |
$-254.88 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $47.18 | 222 | $10,473.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $47.22 | 222 | $10,482.84 | $10,495.50 |
+$8.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.05 | 223 | $10,492.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $47.55 | 223 | $10,603.65 | $10,607.00 |
+$111.50 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $49.73 | 213 | $10,592.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $49.72 | 213 | $10,590.36 | $10,604.87 |
$-2.13 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $48.94 | 216 | $10,572.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.15 | 216 | $10,616.42 | $10,649.17 |
+$44.30 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $49.77 | 213 | $10,601.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $50.09 | 213 | $10,669.17 | $10,717.33 |
+$68.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.83 | 219 | $10,693.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.25 | 219 | $10,566.75 | $10,590.31 |
$-127.02 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $48.85 | 216 | $10,551.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.70 | 216 | $10,519.20 | $10,557.91 |
$-32.40 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $49.24 | 214 | $10,536.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $49.26 | 214 | $10,540.57 | $10,562.19 |
+$4.28 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.81 | 207 | $10,517.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:35pm ET | $50.81 | 207 | $10,516.86 | $10,561.38 |
$-0.81 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.98 | 207 | $10,552.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.13 | 207 | $10,790.91 | $10,799.43 |
+$238.05 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $52.57 | 205 | $10,776.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $53.08 | 205 | $10,881.40 | $10,903.98 |
+$104.55 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $51.59 | 211 | $10,885.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.87 | 211 | $11,155.57 | $11,174.00 |
+$270.02 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.09 | 210 | $11,148.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $53.36 | 210 | $11,205.60 | $11,230.70 |
+$56.70 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $52.61 | 213 | $11,205.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $53.13 | 213 | $11,316.69 | $11,341.67 |
+$110.97 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $55.23 | 205 | $11,322.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.01 | 205 | $11,483.07 | $11,502.59 |
+$160.92 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.55 | 207 | $11,498.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $54.84 | 207 | $11,351.88 | $11,355.62 |
$-146.97 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $55.95 | 202 | $11,301.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $56.52 | 202 | $11,417.04 | $11,470.76 |
+$115.14 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.36 | 193 | $11,456.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $59.82 | 193 | $11,545.65 | $11,559.93 |
+$89.17 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 192 | $11,510.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.96 | 192 | $11,511.36 | $11,560.89 |
+$0.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $55.49 | 208 | $11,542.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $55.07 | 208 | $11,454.56 | $11,472.49 |
$-88.40 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.19 | 228 | $11,443.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.29 | 228 | $11,694.10 | $11,723.04 |
+$250.55 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $50.37 | 232 | $11,685.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $49.69 | 232 | $11,528.08 | $11,565.28 |
$-157.76 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $49.62 | 233 | $11,561.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $49.75 | 233 | $11,591.75 | $11,595.55 |
+$30.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.55 | 238 | $11,554.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.91 | 238 | $11,402.58 | $11,443.85 |
$-151.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.38 | 246 | $11,409.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $46.08 | 246 | $11,334.45 | $11,368.82 |
$-75.03 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.26 | 256 | $11,330.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.11 | 256 | $11,292.19 | $11,330.37 |
$-38.45 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $43.94 | 257 | $11,292.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.01 | 257 | $11,310.57 | $11,348.36 |
+$17.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $44.06 | 257 | $11,323.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.35 | 257 | $11,397.95 | $11,422.89 |
+$74.53 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.49 | 262 | $11,394.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $43.03 | 262 | $11,273.86 | $11,302.37 |
$-120.52 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.78 | 264 | $11,295.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $42.78 | 264 | $11,293.89 | $11,301.02 |
$-1.35 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $43.31 | 260 | $11,261.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $43.43 | 260 | $11,291.80 | $11,330.92 |
+$29.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.93 | 263 | $11,290.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $43.46 | 263 | $11,429.95 | $11,470.28 |
+$139.36 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.60 | 275 | $11,440.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.40 | 275 | $11,385.00 | $11,415.28 |
$-55.00 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,415.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,415.28
Total Return:
+14.15%