TLT Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Market Closed (2 days)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
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Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,198.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $87.14 | 117 | $10,195.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $87.19 | 117 | $10,200.65 | $10,202.82 |
+$4.74 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $87.40 | 116 | $10,138.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $87.40 | 116 | $10,137.82 | $10,201.76 |
$-1.06 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $87.88 | 116 | $10,194.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $87.94 | 116 | $10,200.46 | $10,208.16 |
+$6.39 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.25 | 117 | $10,207.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.18 | 117 | $10,199.79 | $10,200.28 |
$-7.87 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.52 | 116 | $10,152.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $87.67 | 116 | $10,169.72 | $10,217.68 |
+$17.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.77 | 116 | $10,181.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.95 | 116 | $10,202.20 | $10,238.55 |
+$20.87 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $88.44 | 115 | $10,170.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.11 | 115 | $10,132.08 | $10,200.04 |
$-38.51 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.65 | 117 | $10,138.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.57 | 117 | $10,129.22 | $10,191.20 |
$-8.83 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $87.17 | 116 | $10,111.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $87.29 | 116 | $10,125.57 | $10,205.63 |
+$14.43 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $87.67 | 116 | $10,169.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $87.64 | 116 | $10,165.66 | $10,201.56 |
$-4.07 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.15 | 115 | $10,137.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $87.99 | 115 | $10,119.10 | $10,183.33 |
$-18.23 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $87.36 | 116 | $10,133.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $87.42 | 116 | $10,140.72 | $10,190.29 |
+$6.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $87.61 | 116 | $10,162.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.39 | 116 | $10,137.17 | $10,164.71 |
$-25.59 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.04 | 116 | $10,096.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $86.72 | 116 | $10,059.52 | $10,127.59 |
$-37.12 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.64 | 116 | $10,049.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $86.71 | 116 | $10,058.94 | $10,136.86 |
+$9.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $87.28 | 116 | $10,124.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $87.37 | 116 | $10,134.92 | $10,147.29 |
+$10.43 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.14 | 116 | $10,108.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.04 | 116 | $10,096.65 | $10,135.71 |
$-11.59 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $88.33 | 114 | $10,069.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $88.36 | 114 | $10,073.61 | $10,139.70 |
+$3.99 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |