Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
2,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
30 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,890.53
Current Value
$9,905.91
Period P&L
$15.34
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+0.82%
Worst Trade
-1.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$370,379.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$15.34
Gross Return
+0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 30 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,890.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $581.87 16 $9,309.92
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $581.42 16 $9,302.72 $9,866.90 $-7.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $617.16 15 $9,257.40
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $618.98 15 $9,284.70 $9,894.20 +$27.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $616.80 16 $9,868.84
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $618.13 16 $9,890.00 $9,915.36 +$21.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:50am ET $605.26 16 $9,684.08
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET $610.23 16 $9,763.60 $9,994.88 +$79.52
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:40am ET $609.87 16 $9,757.92
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $609.02 16 $9,744.32 $9,981.28 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $618.90 16 $9,902.32
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $621.41 16 $9,942.56 $10,021.52 +$40.24
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $625.75 16 $10,011.92
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $625.18 16 $10,002.88 $10,012.48 $-9.04
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $615.55 16 $9,848.72
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $617.31 16 $9,876.96 $10,040.72 +$28.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $636.80 15 $9,552.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $638.89 15 $9,583.35 $10,072.07 +$31.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $623.93 16 $9,982.88
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $624.72 16 $9,995.52 $10,084.71 +$12.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $628.08 16 $10,049.28
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET $627.62 16 $10,041.92 $10,077.35 $-7.36
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $613.60 16 $9,817.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $610.24 16 $9,763.84 $10,023.59 $-53.76
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $584.93 17 $9,943.73
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $583.45 17 $9,918.65 $9,998.52 $-25.07
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $581.61 17 $9,887.45
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $583.40 17 $9,917.80 $10,028.86 +$30.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $567.70 17 $9,650.90
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $569.01 17 $9,673.17 $10,051.13 +$22.27
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $562.32 17 $9,559.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $553.65 17 $9,411.97 $9,903.66 $-147.47
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $542.70 18 $9,768.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $538.62 18 $9,695.16 $9,830.22 $-73.44
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $544.35 18 $9,798.39
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $547.14 18 $9,848.52 $9,880.35 +$50.13
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $529.03 18 $9,522.54
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET $530.45 18 $9,548.10 $9,905.91 +$25.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,905.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-94.09
Total Return: -0.94%
Back to Professor Mean