Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,190
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,147.22
Current Value
$10,264.09
Period P&L
$116.88
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+1.66%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$391,642.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$116.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$116.88
Gross Return
+1.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,147.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $53.25 192 $10,223.04
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.13 192 $10,392.96 $10,419.86 +$169.92
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $53.87 193 $10,396.91
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.78 193 $10,379.31 $10,402.26 $-17.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $55.83 186 $10,385.09
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $56.02 186 $10,420.19 $10,437.36 +$35.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.77 194 $10,431.36
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $53.92 194 $10,459.86 $10,465.86 +$28.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $55.77 187 $10,428.99
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.31 187 $10,342.05 $10,378.92 $-86.94
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $55.77 186 $10,372.94
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $55.61 186 $10,342.53 $10,348.51 $-30.41
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $55.33 187 $10,345.78
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $55.50 187 $10,378.50 $10,381.24 +$32.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 199 $10,357.57
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $51.76 199 $10,300.22 $10,323.89 $-57.35
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.65 199 $10,278.35
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.29 199 $10,206.71 $10,252.25 $-71.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $53.99 189 $10,203.17
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.16 189 $10,235.30 $10,284.38 +$32.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $54.23 189 $10,248.53
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $54.41 189 $10,283.49 $10,319.34 +$34.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $55.18 187 $10,318.66
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $55.84 187 $10,441.15 $10,441.83 +$122.49
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $56.87 183 $10,407.21
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.13 183 $10,453.88 $10,488.49 +$46.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $54.58 192 $10,479.36
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.28 192 $10,422.03 $10,431.16 $-57.33
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $55.40 188 $10,416.14
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $55.06 188 $10,351.28 $10,366.30 $-64.86
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $50.97 203 $10,346.91
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $49.42 203 $10,032.26 $10,051.65 $-314.65
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.13 200 $10,026.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $50.30 200 $10,060.00 $10,085.65 +$34.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.81 194 $10,050.17
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.92 194 $10,072.62 $10,108.09 +$22.45
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
24m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $50.49 200 $10,098.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $51.27 200 $10,254.00 $10,264.09 +$156.00
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,264.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$264.09
Total Return: +2.64%
Back to Professor Mean