UNH Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
+4.22%
Year to Date Return
$9,628.16
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$9,238.15
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
15.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.5
30-Day Momentum
38
+1.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.1
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,956
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,238.15
Current Value
$9,628.16
Period P&L
$389.97
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
35 /
15
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-1.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$926,493.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$389.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$389.97
Gross Return
+4.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,238.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $328.17 | 28 | $9,188.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $330.07 | 28 | $9,241.96 | $9,291.37 |
+$53.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $343.47 | 27 | $9,273.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.77 | 27 | $9,389.79 | $9,407.60 |
+$116.24 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $344.26 | 27 | $9,295.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $339.90 | 27 | $9,177.30 | $9,289.88 |
$-117.72 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.21 | 26 | $9,001.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $344.30 | 26 | $8,951.80 | $9,240.22 |
$-49.66 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $337.28 | 27 | $9,106.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $338.34 | 27 | $9,135.16 | $9,268.83 |
+$28.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $333.79 | 27 | $9,012.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $334.78 | 27 | $9,039.06 | $9,295.48 |
+$26.66 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $336.99 | 27 | $9,098.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $336.16 | 27 | $9,076.19 | $9,272.94 |
$-22.55 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.05 | 27 | $8,992.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $334.78 | 27 | $9,039.06 | $9,319.65 |
+$46.71 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $336.54 | 27 | $9,086.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $337.78 | 27 | $9,120.06 | $9,353.24 |
+$33.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $353.78 | 26 | $9,198.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $354.38 | 26 | $9,213.88 | $9,368.84 |
+$15.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.06 | 26 | $9,127.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $349.14 | 26 | $9,077.51 | $9,318.92 |
$-49.92 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $280.77 | 33 | $9,265.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $281.85 | 33 | $9,301.05 | $9,354.56 |
+$35.64 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $291.93 | 32 | $9,341.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $294.05 | 32 | $9,409.60 | $9,422.40 |
+$67.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $290.44 | 32 | $9,294.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $286.17 | 32 | $9,157.44 | $9,285.76 |
$-136.64 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $286.61 | 32 | $9,171.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $286.07 | 32 | $9,154.24 | $9,268.56 |
$-17.21 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $281.65 | 32 | $9,012.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $280.74 | 32 | $8,983.68 | $9,239.44 |
$-29.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $272.87 | 33 | $9,004.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $275.30 | 33 | $9,084.90 | $9,319.63 |
+$80.19 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $275.31 | 33 | $9,085.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $275.39 | 33 | $9,088.03 | $9,322.43 |
+$2.80 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $275.17 | 33 | $9,080.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $275.21 | 33 | $9,082.09 | $9,324.08 |
+$1.65 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.19 | 34 | $9,254.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $273.64 | 34 | $9,303.92 | $9,373.54 |
+$49.46 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $288.39 | 32 | $9,228.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $290.76 | 32 | $9,304.32 | $9,449.54 |
+$76.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $287.69 | 32 | $9,206.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $288.61 | 32 | $9,235.52 | $9,478.98 |
+$29.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $288.57 | 32 | $9,234.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $283.64 | 32 | $9,076.48 | $9,321.22 |
$-157.76 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $273.76 | 34 | $9,307.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $274.12 | 34 | $9,320.08 | $9,333.46 |
+$12.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.67 | 32 | $9,141.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $287.18 | 32 | $9,189.92 | $9,381.94 |
+$48.48 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $290.21 | 32 | $9,286.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $290.26 | 32 | $9,288.32 | $9,383.54 |
+$1.60 (+0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $291.17 | 32 | $9,317.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $291.66 | 32 | $9,333.12 | $9,399.22 |
+$15.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $287.44 | 32 | $9,198.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $288.60 | 32 | $9,235.04 | $9,436.18 |
+$36.96 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.70 | 33 | $9,329.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $282.17 | 33 | $9,311.45 | $9,418.53 |
$-17.65 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $281.87 | 33 | $9,301.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $283.17 | 33 | $9,344.45 | $9,461.27 |
+$42.74 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $283.48 | 33 | $9,354.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:40pm ET | $279.85 | 33 | $9,235.05 | $9,341.65 |
$-119.63 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $285.71 | 32 | $9,142.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.42 | 32 | $9,229.60 | $9,428.53 |
+$86.88 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.15 | 32 | $9,156.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $287.67 | 32 | $9,205.52 | $9,477.25 |
+$48.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $281.82 | 33 | $9,299.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:25pm ET | $282.48 | 33 | $9,322.00 | $9,499.28 |
+$22.03 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $280.79 | 33 | $9,266.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $279.46 | 33 | $9,222.18 | $9,455.39 |
$-43.89 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.08 | 35 | $9,382.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $270.16 | 35 | $9,455.60 | $9,528.26 |
+$72.87 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $270.35 | 35 | $9,462.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.12 | 35 | $9,349.20 | $9,415.31 |
$-112.95 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.71 | 34 | $9,272.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $273.96 | 34 | $9,314.64 | $9,457.81 |
+$42.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $281.49 | 33 | $9,289.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $281.56 | 33 | $9,291.48 | $9,460.12 |
+$2.31 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $304.30 | 31 | $9,433.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $305.73 | 31 | $9,477.63 | $9,504.45 |
+$44.33 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $307.80 | 30 | $9,234.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $305.30 | 30 | $9,159.00 | $9,429.45 |
$-75.00 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $314.09 | 30 | $9,422.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $314.56 | 30 | $9,436.80 | $9,443.55 |
+$14.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $323.88 | 29 | $9,392.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $324.01 | 29 | $9,396.29 | $9,447.32 |
+$3.77 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $349.00 | 27 | $9,423.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.41 | 27 | $9,488.00 | $9,512.32 |
+$65.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $350.85 | 27 | $9,472.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:15pm ET | $353.44 | 27 | $9,542.88 | $9,582.39 |
+$70.07 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $350.61 | 27 | $9,466.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $350.36 | 27 | $9,459.59 | $9,575.51 |
$-6.88 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.26 | 26 | $9,496.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $367.70 | 26 | $9,560.20 | $9,638.95 |
+$63.44 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $364.59 | 26 | $9,479.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $367.35 | 26 | $9,551.10 | $9,710.71 |
+$71.76 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $369.47 | 26 | $9,606.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $370.49 | 26 | $9,632.74 | $9,737.23 |
+$26.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $367.54 | 26 | $9,555.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $363.34 | 26 | $9,446.84 | $9,628.16 |
$-109.07 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,628.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-371.84
Total Return:
-3.72%