Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,666
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,238.15
Current Value
$9,373.54
Period P&L
$135.36
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
13 / 7
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-1.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$365,918.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$135.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$135.36
Gross Return
+1.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,238.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $328.17 28 $9,188.76
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $330.07 28 $9,241.96 $9,291.37 +$53.20
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $343.47 27 $9,273.56
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $347.77 27 $9,389.79 $9,407.60 +$116.24
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $344.26 27 $9,295.02
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $339.90 27 $9,177.30 $9,289.88 $-117.72
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $346.21 26 $9,001.46
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $344.30 26 $8,951.80 $9,240.22 $-49.66
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $337.28 27 $9,106.56
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.34 27 $9,135.16 $9,268.83 +$28.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $333.79 27 $9,012.40
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $334.78 27 $9,039.06 $9,295.48 +$26.66
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $336.99 27 $9,098.73
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $336.16 27 $9,076.19 $9,272.94 $-22.55
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $333.05 27 $8,992.35
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET $334.78 27 $9,039.06 $9,319.65 +$46.71
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $336.54 27 $9,086.47
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $337.78 27 $9,120.06 $9,353.24 +$33.59
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $353.78 26 $9,198.28
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $354.38 26 $9,213.88 $9,368.84 +$15.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $351.06 26 $9,127.43
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET $349.14 26 $9,077.51 $9,318.92 $-49.92
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $280.77 33 $9,265.41
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $281.85 33 $9,301.05 $9,354.56 +$35.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $291.93 32 $9,341.76
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $294.05 32 $9,409.60 $9,422.40 +$67.84
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET $290.44 32 $9,294.08
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $286.17 32 $9,157.44 $9,285.76 $-136.64
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $286.61 32 $9,171.45
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $286.07 32 $9,154.24 $9,268.56 $-17.21
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $281.65 32 $9,012.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $280.74 32 $8,983.68 $9,239.44 $-29.12
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET $272.87 33 $9,004.71
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $275.30 33 $9,084.90 $9,319.63 +$80.19
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $275.31 33 $9,085.23
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $275.39 33 $9,088.03 $9,322.43 +$2.80
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $275.17 33 $9,080.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $275.21 33 $9,082.09 $9,324.08 +$1.65
(+0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $272.19 34 $9,254.46
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $273.64 34 $9,303.92 $9,373.54 +$49.46
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,373.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-626.46
Total Return: -6.26%
Back to Professor Mean